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Conference League
Referee: G Kikacheishvili
Riga
T S T S S
5–2
Full-time
Vardar Skopje
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Riga Vardar Skopje
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Jul -26 Vardar Skopje – Riga 2–3

Match report

Riga Vardar Skopje
17′
⚽ D. Babunski 0–1
I. Puleio
19′
🟥 Filip Najdovski
22′
🔁 D. Velkovski
↦ Miguel Pires
Half-time 0–1
Caio Ferreira 🔁
↦ M. Diop
46′
Baba Musah 🟨
56′
Reginaldo Ramires 🔁
↦ O. Galo
65′
66′
⚽ A. Omeragic 0–2
69′
🔁 G. Zakaric
↦ A. Omeragic
A. Taiwo 🔁
↦ A. Salazar
75′
84′
🔁 F. Duranski
↦ D. Castaneda
1–2 A. Taiwo ⚽
Reginaldo Ramires
87′
M. Tonisevs 🔁
↦ R. Jurkovskis
91′
91′
🔁 F. Cvetkovski
↦ M. Manevski
Raki Aouani 🟨
92′
2–2 R. Aouani ⚽
92′
A. Cernomordijs 🔁
↦ M. Badamosi
99′
99′
🔁 D. Todorovski
↦ D. Babunski
99′
🔁 D. Danev
↦ I. Puleio
3–2 Iago Siqueira ⚽
R. Aouani
105′
Ahmed Ankrah 🟨
106′
4–2 Reginaldo Ramires ⚽
109′
111′
🟨 Filip Duranski
K. Wassom 🔁
↦ R. Aouani
112′
5–2 Caio Ferreira ⚽
M. Tonisevs
117′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Riga

5-4-1
91 F. Orols G
13 R. Jurkovskis D
33 Paulo Eduardo D
21 B. Musah D
17 A. Salazar D
22 M. Diop
8 Iago Siqueira M
40 A. Ankrah M
4 O. Galo M
7 R. Aouani M
19 M. Badamosi F
Bench (10)
31 A. Papadoudis
44 M. Kazainis
3 Abner
5 K. Wassom
10 Reginaldo Ramires
11 B. Pena
23 M. Tonisevs
25 A. Taiwo
34 A. Cernomordijs
99 Caio Ferreira

Coach: Adrian Gula

Vardar Skopje

4-2-3-1
95 D. Taleski G
21 G. Jankulov D
5 F. Najdovski D
4 M. Matic D
3 M. Manevski D
6 D. Babunski M
32 D. Castaneda M
34 I. Puleio M
71 Miguel Pires M
7 G. Rodrigues F
9 A. Omeragic F
Bench (10)
1 D. Dikovski
10 G. Zakaric
14 D. Velkovski
17 E. Spahiu
18 N. Mishkovski
22 D. Todorovski
23 F. Duranski
27 F. Cvetkovski
31 I. Markovski
49 D. Danev

Coach: Cristian Fabbiani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kikacheishvili · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.