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Champions League
Referee: R Gidzhenov
Kairat Almaty
T T U S T
3–0
Full-time
KuPS
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kairat Almaty KuPS
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 10%
20%
0%
Average goals
1,6
1,7
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,0
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Jul -25 KuPS – Kairat Almaty 2–0

Match report

Kairat Almaty KuPS
Giorgi Zaria 🟥
-5′
Jorginho 🟨
7′
1–0 D. Satpaev ⚽
L. Mata
9′
2–0 Jorginho ⚽
E. Tapalov
29′
3–0 V. Gromyko ⚽
D. Satpaev
43′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🟨 Doni Arifi
Ofri Arad 🟨
50′
A. Mrynskiy 🔁
↦ D. Satpaev
66′
Ricardinho 🔁
↦ Edmilson
66′
67′
🔁 J. Voutilainen
↦ D. Arifi
67′
🔁 A. Sadiku
↦ M. Toure
Valeriy Gromyko 🟨
72′
R. Bagdat 🔁
↦ Jorginho
74′
76′
🔁 B. Armah
↦ N. Hamalainen
A. Sadybekov 🔁
↦ V. Gromyko
81′
83′
🔁 S. Pasanen
↦ J. Luyeye-Lutumba
84′
🔁 A. Heinonen
↦ P. Pennanen
Aleksandr Zarutskiy 🟨
96′
Aleksandr Mrynskiy 🟨
97′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Kairat Almaty

4-3-2-1
1 A. Zarutskiy G
4 D. Kasabulat M
80 E. Sorokin D
14 A. Martynovich D
3 L. Mata D
20 E. Tapalov D
15 O. Arad M
55 V. Gromyko M
26 Edmilson F
7 Jorginho M
9 D. Satpaev F
Bench (12)
77 T. Anarbekov
5 L. Kurgin
6 A. Sadybekov
10 G. Zaria
17 O. Baybek
24 A. Mrynskiy
25 A. Shirobokov
33 J. Stanojev
44 L. Gadrani
89 R. Bagdat
99 Ricardinho
82 S. Kalmurza

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

KuPS

4-2-3-1
12 A. Hakala G
6 S. Savolainen D
15 I. Cisse D
16 S. Miettinen D
22 N. Hamalainen D
13 J. Oksanen M
10 D. Arifi M
21 J. Luyeye-Lutumba F
34 O. Ruoppi M
8 P. Pennanen M
20 M. Toure F
Bench (7)
7 J. Voutilainen
11 A. Sadiku
17 A. Heinonen
23 A. Lotjonen
24 B. Armah
30 L. Sahimaa
14 S. Pasanen

Coach: Miika Nuutinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.