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Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
Leverkusen
U S S T T
0–2
Full-time
Bayern Munich
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 60%
56%
64%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
56%
64%
Both score Ø 39%
22%
55%
Average goals
2,8
3,6
Scored
1,7
2,4
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,45 xG 2,10
53% Possession 47%
17 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
14 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
24 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Mar -25 Bayern Munich – Leverkusen 3–0 15. Feb -25 Leverkusen – Bayern Munich 0–0 3. Dec -24 Bayern Munich – Leverkusen 0–1 28. Sep -24 Bayern Munich – Leverkusen 1–1 10. Feb -24 Leverkusen – Bayern Munich 3–0

Match report

Leverkusen Bayern Munich
8′
🟨 Konrad Laimer
10′
🟨 Kingsley Coman
Mario Hermoso 🟨
31′
R. Andrich 🔁
↦ Hermoso
38′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Stanišić
↦ K. Laimer
Granit Xhaka 🟨
51′
52′
⚽ H. Kane 0–1
58′
🔁 S. Gnabry
↦ K. Coman
V. Boniface 🔁
↦ Arthur
65′
A. Adli 🔁
↦ Aleix García
66′
69′
🔁 H. Ito
↦ M. Olise
Patrik Schick 🟨
70′
71′
⚽ A. Davies 0–2
H. Kane
82′
🟨 Harry Kane
E. Buendía 🔁
↦ Álex Grimaldo
84′
84′
🔁 João Palhinha
↦ L. Goretzka
84′
🔁 T. Müller
↦ H. Kane
Emiliano Buendía 🟨
86′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-5-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
13 Arthur D
4 J. Tah D
5 Hermoso D
3 P. Hincapié D
30 J. Frimpong M
25 E. Palacios M
34 G. Xhaka M
24 Aleix García M
20 Álex Grimaldo M
14 P. Schick F
Bench (9)
8 R. Andrich
22 V. Boniface
21 A. Adli
16 E. Buendía
12 E. Tapsoba
36 N. Lomb
19 N. Tella
7 J. Hofmann
17 M. Kovář

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
40 J. Urbig G
27 K. Laimer D
2 D. Upamecano D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
19 A. Davies D
8 L. Goretzka M
6 J. Kimmich M
17 M. Olise M
42 J. Musiala M
11 K. Coman M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (12)
44 J. Stanišić
7 S. Gnabry
21 H. Ito
16 João Palhinha
25 T. Müller
23 S. Boey
18 D. Peretz
22 Raphaël Guerreiro
26 S. Ulreich
15 E. Dier
24 G. Vidović
10 L. Sané

Coach: V. Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.