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Champions League
Referee: E Hamiti
Qarabag
T U S T S
4–0
Full-time
Lincoln Red Imps FC
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Lincoln Red Imps FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 27%
33%
20%
Points per game
1,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
33%
40%
Both score Ø 35%
50%
20%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,6
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

11 Corners 1
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Jul -23 Lincoln Red Imps FC – Qarabag 1–2

Match report

Qarabag Lincoln Red Imps FC
1–0 A. Zoubir ⚽
Leandro Andrade
7′
44′
🟨 Jack Sergeant
Half-time 2–0
2–0 B. Mustafazadə ⚽
M. Vešović
46′
3–0 R. Xhixha ⚽
Leandro Andrade
49′
54′
🔁 Juampe
↦ L. Walker
54′
🔁 Juanfri
↦ L. Casciaro
4–0 M. Janković ⚽
A. Zoubir
62′
H. Keyta 🔁
↦ Y. Benzia
63′
64′
🟨 Kike Gómez
A. Diakhaby 🔁
↦ A. Zoubir
71′
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ M. Vešović
71′
N. Axundzadə 🔁
↦ R. Xhixha
72′
77′
🔁 S. Ajayi
↦ J. Sergeant
77′
🔁 D. Burnet
↦ M. Yahaya
R. Almeyda 🔁
↦ M. Janković
82′
83′
🔁 K. Clinton
↦ Mandi
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
55 B. Hüseynov D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
19 R. Xhixha F
Bench (12)
17 H. Keyta
11 A. Diakhaby
27 T. Bayramov
90 N. Axundzadə
20 R. Almeyda
4 R. Məmmədov
81 K. Medina
89 A. Ramazanov
2 Q. Qarayev
83 N. Quliyev
23 L. Gugeshashvili
5 M. Medvedev

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Lincoln Red Imps FC

4-3-3
23 D. Coleing G
5 I. Ayew D
24 J. Sergeant D
6 B. Lopes D
21 Nano M
20 M. Yahaya M
88 Mandi M
10 L. Walker M
66 E. Britto D
9 K. Gómez F
7 L. Casciaro F
Bench (10)
11 Juampe
19 Juanfri
4 S. Ajayi
33 D. Burnet
77 K. Clinton
17 Marco Rosa
31 J. Sciortino
1 Nauzet García
29 L. Chipolina
13 Iván Villanueva

Coach: Javi Muñoz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.