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Conference League
Referee: S Levi
Flora Tallinn
T T T T U
5–2
Full-time
Virtus
T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Flora Tallinn Virtus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
0,2
0,3
Conceded
2,5
3,7
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-3,3
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
0,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jul -24 Virtus – Flora Tallinn 0–0

Match report

Flora Tallinn Virtus
3′
🟨 Alex Passaniti
1–0 M. Lepik ⚽
4′
Marco Lukka 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
Marco Lukka 🟨
48′
Marco Lukka 🟥
48′
R. Veering 🔁
↦ T. Varjund
49′
55′
🔁 M. Mema
↦ T. Lombardi
R. Sappinen 🔁
↦ M. Lepik
63′
R. Alliku 🔁
↦ D. Kuraksin
63′
64′
🔁 S. Abouzziane
↦ N. Vallocchia
64′
🔁 M. Rinaldi
↦ A. Giacomoni
64′
🔁 M. Barone
↦ A. Montanari
68′
⚽ S. Benincasa 1–1
71′
🟨 Simone Benincasa
A. Vaher 🔁
↦ M. Kolobov
73′
75′
🟨 Michele Rinaldi
76′
🟨 Roberto Sabato
2–1 R. Sappinen ⚽
77′
81′
🔁 M. Colagiovanni
↦ E. Ciacci
84′
🟨 Manuel Battistini
88′
⚽ M. Mema 2–2
N. Mihhailov 🔁
↦ S. Zenjov
90′
3–2 R. Alliku ⚽
92′
4–2 R. Alliku ⚽
97′
101′
❌ Mario Barone
penalty missed
111′
🔁 N. Arrigoni
↦ L. Rizzo
112′
🟨 Nicola Gori
5–2 V. Kreida ⚽
120′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Flora Tallinn

4-2-3-1
33 E. Grünvald G
26 K. Hussar D
16 E. Tõugjas D
23 M. Kolobov D
4 M. Lukka D
5 V. Kreida M
28 M. Soomets M
20 S. Zenjov M
7 T. Varjund F
8 D. Kuraksin M
22 M. Lepik F
Bench (12)
6 R. Veering
11 R. Sappinen
9 R. Alliku
3 A. Vaher
13 N. Mihhailov
1 S. Rebane
14 K. Vassiljev
77 K. Lapa
24 O. Pihela
29 S. Alamaa
71 G. Rõivassepp
93 S. Prunn

Coach: T. Viik

Virtus

4-3-3
39 A. Passaniti G
7 M. Battistini D
26 A. Giacomoni D
6 R. Sabato D
15 N. Gori D
45 E. Ciacci M
4 A. Montanari M
31 N. Vallocchia M
11 T. Lombardi F
25 S. Benincasa F
72 L. Rizzo D
Bench (7)
9 M. Mema
14 S. Abouzziane
5 M. Rinaldi
10 M. Barone
16 M. Colagiovanni
34 N. Arrigoni
12 G. De Bartolo

Coach: L. Bizzotto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.