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Champions League
Referee: E Eskås
Man United
S U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
20%
80%
Points per game
0,8
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
80%
80%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
5,2
3,4
Scored
2,4
2,2
Conceded
2,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,25 xG 1,16
41% Possession 59%
5 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Sep -23 Bayern Munich – Man United 4–3

Match report

Man United Bayern Munich
J. Evans 🔁
↦ H. Maguire
40′
Half-time 0–0
A. Wan-Bissaka 🔁
↦ L. Shaw
46′
46′
🔁 K. Laimer
↦ N. Mazraoui
Antony 🟨
53′
Sofyan Amrabat 🟨
61′
67′
🔁 T. Müller
↦ J. Musiala
71′
⚽ K. Coman 0–1
H. Kane
H. Mejbri 🔁
↦ A. Garnacho
74′
F. Pellistri 🔁
↦ Antony
75′
77′
🔁 M. Tel
↦ K. Coman
K. Mainoo 🔁
↦ R. Varane
80′
88′
🟨 Leon Goretzka
90′
🔁 Raphaël Guerreiro
↦ L. Sané
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Man United

4-2-3-1
24 A. Onana G
20 Diogo Dalot D
5 H. Maguire D
19 R. Varane D
23 L. Shaw D
39 S. McTominay M
4 S. Amrabat M
21 Antony M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
17 A. Garnacho M
11 R. Højlund F
Bench (10)
35 J. Evans
29 A. Wan-Bissaka
46 H. Mejbri
28 F. Pellistri
37 K. Mainoo
44 D. Gore
52 J. Hugill
15 Sergio Reguilón
22 T. Heaton
1 A. Bayındır

Coach: E. ten Hag

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
40 N. Mazraoui D
2 D. Upamecano D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
8 L. Goretzka M
11 K. Coman M
42 J. Musiala M
10 L. Sané M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (8)
27 K. Laimer
25 T. Müller
39 M. Tel
22 Raphaël Guerreiro
13 E. Choupo-Moting
45 A. Pavlović
18 Daniel Peretz
41 F. Krätzig

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.