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Puchar Polski
Referee: D Kos
Wisla
T S U T S
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wisla Polonia Warszawa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,3
5,0
Scored
1,8
3,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Wisla 24. · Polonia Warszawa 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Warta Poznan 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Wisła Puławy 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Carina Gubin 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Stal Rzeszów 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Polonia Warszawa 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Cracovia 2 2 0 0 +2 6
10 Garbarnia Kraków 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
12 Lech Poznan 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Polonia Bytom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Legia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 +1 3
20 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1 0 1 +1 3
22 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Wisla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Stal Mielec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Pogon Szczecin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Stal Brzeg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Puszcza 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Legia Warszawa II 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
36 Tychy 71 2 1 0 1 -1 3
37 Radunia Stężyca 2 1 0 1 -2 3
38 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Nieciecza 2 0 1 1 -1 1
40 Kalisz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
41 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 KSZO 1929 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Gryf Wejherowo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 GKS Katowice 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
70 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wisla Polonia Warszawa
25′
🟨 J. Piatek
I. Lasicki 🟨
30′
35′
🟨 J. Piatek
35′
🟥 J. Piatek
E. Satrustegui 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Grudniewski
↦ J. Majsterek
46′
🔁 V. Okhronchuk
↦ M. Kluska
Goku Román 🔁
↦ Jesús Alfaro
57′
Miki Villar 🔁
↦ D. Olejarka
57′
1–0 S. Sobczak
68′
70′
🔁 B. Biedrzycki
↦ N. Zawistowski
70′
🔁 P. Tomczyk
↦ M. Bajdur
B. Talar 🔁
↦ K. Duda
77′
Marc Carbó 🔁
↦ I. Sapała
77′
79′
🔁 M. Michalski
↦ T. Wełna
2–0 B. Jaroch
84′
Ángel Rodado 🔁
↦ S. Sobczak
85′
3–0 Ángel Rodado
89′
95′
🟨 S. Kobusinski
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Wisla

K. Broda
Eneko Satrústegui
I. Łasicki
B. Jaroch
D. Szot
I. Sapała
K. Duda
D. Olejarka
Jesús Alfaro
S. Sobczak
Ángel Baena
Bench (9)
Goku Román
Miki Villar
B. Talar
Marc Carbó
Ángel Rodado
Álvaro Ratón
J. Colley
K. Wiśniewski
V. Basha

Coach: R. Sobolewski

Polonia Warszawa

J. Lemanowicz
T. Wełna
M. Kowalski-Haberek
D. Pawłowski
N. Zawistowski
J. Majsterek
M. Bajdur
J. Piątek
M. Kluska
O. Wojciechowski
S. Kobusiński
Bench (9)
M. Grudniewski
V. Okhronchuk
B. Biedrzycki
P. Tomczyk
M. Michalski
K. Kotoń
M. Kołodziejski
M. Kuchta
P. Marciniec

Coach: R. Smalec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Kos · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.