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Champions League
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Dortmund
S S U S T
2–0
Full-time
Newcastle
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Newcastle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,0
2,0
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,38 xG 0,55
46% Possession 54%
17 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Oct -23 Newcastle – Dortmund 0–1

Match report

Dortmund Newcastle
9′
🟨 Lewis Hall
1–0 N. Füllkrug ⚽
M. Sabitzer
26′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Almirón
↦ L. Hall
46′
🔁 A. Gordon
↦ C. Wilson
2–0 J. Brandt ⚽
K. Adeyemi
79′
M. Reus 🔁
↦ K. Adeyemi
80′
80′
🔁 L. Miley
↦ J. Willock
Y. Moukoko 🔁
↦ N. Füllkrug
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
25 N. Süle D
15 M. Hummels D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
26 J. Ryerson D
20 M. Sabitzer M
6 S. Özcan M
27 K. Adeyemi M
8 F. Nmecha M
19 J. Brandt M
14 N. Füllkrug F
Bench (11)
11 M. Reus
18 Y. Moukoko
17 M. Wolf
42 H. Blank
7 G. Reyna
21 D. Malen
43 J. Bynoe-Gittens
9 S. Haller
33 A. Meyer
5 R. Bensebaïni
35 M. Lotka

Coach: E. Terzić

Newcastle

4-3-3
22 N. Pope G
2 K. Trippier D
6 J. Lascelles D
5 F. Schär D
20 L. Hall D
36 S. Longstaff M
39 Bruno Guimarães M
28 J. Willock M
21 T. Livramento F
9 C. Wilson F
7 Joelinton F
Bench (8)
24 M. Almirón
10 A. Gordon
67 L. Miley
18 L. Karius
34 L. De Bolle
1 M. Dúbravka
63 B. Parkinson
3 P. Dummett

Coach: E. Howe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.