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Champions League
Referee: José Sánchez
Milan
S S S S T
0–0
Full-time
Newcastle
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Newcastle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,99 xG 0,28
53% Possession 47%
25 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 1
4 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Milan Newcastle
Davide Calabria 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
A. Florenzi 🔁
↦ D. Calabria
46′
49′
🟨 Fabian Schär
C. Pulišić 🔁
↦ S. Chukwueze
61′
T. Reijnders 🔁
↦ T. Pobega
61′
63′
🔁 C. Wilson
↦ J. Murphy
63′
🔁 M. Almirón
↦ A. Gordon
Y. Musah 🔁
↦ R. Loftus-Cheek
72′
72′
🔁 E. Anderson
↦ S. Tonali
M. Sportiello 🔁
↦ M. Maignan
81′
Yunus Musah 🟨
82′
Olivier Giroud 🟨
83′
Rade Krunić 🟨
89′
91′
🔁 H. Barnes
↦ A. Isak
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Milan

4-3-3
16 M. Maignan G
2 D. Calabria D
28 M. Thiaw D
23 F. Tomori D
19 T. Hernández D
8 R. Loftus-Cheek M
33 R. Krunić M
32 T. Pobega M
21 S. Chukwueze F
9 O. Giroud F
10 Rafael Leão F
Bench (11)
42 A. Florenzi
11 C. Pulišić
14 T. Reijnders
80 Y. Musah
57 M. Sportiello
17 N. Okafor
95 D. Bartesaghi
83 A. Mirante
7 Y. Adli
15 L. Jović
24 S. Kjær

Coach: S. Pioli

Newcastle

4-3-3
22 N. Pope G
2 K. Trippier D
5 F. Schär D
4 S. Botman D
33 D. Burn D
36 S. Longstaff M
39 Bruno Guimarães M
8 S. Tonali M
23 J. Murphy F
14 A. Isak F
10 A. Gordon F
Bench (12)
9 C. Wilson
24 M. Almirón
32 E. Anderson
15 H. Barnes
6 J. Lascelles
67 L. Miley
84 A. Harris
21 T. Livramento
13 M. Targett
18 L. Karius
3 P. Dummett
20 L. Hall

Coach: E. Howe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.