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DBU Pokalen
Referee: M Rasmussen
1–6
Full-time
Aarhus Fremad
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nørresundby Aarhus Fremad
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
6,0
4,5
Scored
1,0
3,2
Conceded
5,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +18 3
2 B 93 1 1 0 0 +16 3
3 Aalborg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 FA 2000 1 1 0 0 +7 3
6 Esbjerg 1 1 0 0 +7 3
7 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +6 3
8 Ishøj 1 1 0 0 +6 3
9 VRI 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 FC Helsingor 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Tune 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Kolding B 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Skjold Sæby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Viby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Ringsted 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Lyseng 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 SfB-Oure 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Dalum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Bagsværd 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 HB Koge 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Gørslev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 AB Tårnby 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Thisted FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Taastrup 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Skjold Birkerød 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Søften 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Sonderjyske 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 HIK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Silkeborg KFUM 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 AB Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Aabenraa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Skive 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Naestved 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Ringkøbing 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 B 1908 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 B 1909 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Fjordager 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 tst Fodbold 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Vejgaard B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Glostrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Amager FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Gug 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Horsens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Greve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 LSF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Tåsinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Frem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Otterup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 OKS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Jetsmark 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Køge Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Bispebjerg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Aarhus 1900 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Morud/Veflinge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
76 Varde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
77 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
78 Højslev IF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
79 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
80 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
81 BSF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
82 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -7 0
83 KRFK 1 0 0 1 -7 0
84 Egen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
85 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -16 0
86 Avrasya 1 0 0 1 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nørresundby Aarhus Fremad
2′
G. Callø 0–1
5′
G. Callø 0–2
18′
Magnus Kirchheiner 0–3
1–3 M. Hyldahl
21′
44′
J. Torp 1–4
Half-time 1–4
46′
🔁 W. Stage
↦ F. Rieper
46′
🔁 F. Grube
↦ E. Hauge
46′
🔁 G. Junge
↦ Magnus Kirchheiner
50′
J. Torp 1–5
59′
G. Callø 1–6
V. Rafael 🔁
↦ P. Jachemek
60′
M. Mølgaard 🔁
↦ E. Vardinghus
60′
M. Vægter 🔁
↦ K. Vingaa
60′
76′
🔁 E. Junge
↦ S. Buch
W. Andreasen 🔁
↦ M. Dyg
79′
V. Viberg 🔁
↦ J. Brix
86′
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Nørresundby

15 E. Vardinghus
1 M. Rod
2 P. Björkman
19 P. Pedersen
6 P. Jachemek
14 M. Hyldahl
17 P. Sudergaard
21 J. Flindt
7 K. Vingaa
8 J. Brix
11 M. Dyg
Bench (5)
20 V. Rafael
22 M. Mølgaard
9 M. Vægter
18 W. Andreasen
4 V. Viberg

Coach: K. Stiller

Aarhus Fremad

1 B. Pená
25 B. Rizvic
5 E. Nissen
6 F. Rieper
19 B. Suner
15 J. Torp
8 D. Haarbo
27 Magnus Kirchheiner
10 E. Hauge
22 S. Buch
20 G. Callø
Bench (9)
18 W. Stage
28 F. Grube
12 G. Junge
2 E. Junge
14 F. Høgh
17 Marcus Kirchheiner
23 J. Singh
30 J. Nielsen
32 D. Jakobsen

Coach: M. Dahm Kjærgaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.