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FA Cup
Hartpury University
1–2
Full-time
Holyport
S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamble Club 2 1 1 0 +4 4
2 Widnes 2 1 1 0 +4 4
3 Erith Town 2 1 1 0 +4 4
4 Irlam 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Roman Glass St George 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Peacehaven & Telscombe 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Westfield (Surrey) 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Athletic Newham 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Lakenheath 2 1 1 0 +2 4
10 New Salamis 2 1 1 0 +2 4
11 Penistone Church 2 1 1 0 +2 4
12 Crawley Down Gatwick 2 1 1 0 +2 4
13 Bearsted 2 1 1 0 +2 4
14 Maltby Main 2 1 1 0 +2 4
15 Okehampton Argyle 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 Carlton Town 2 1 1 0 +2 4
17 Cleethorpes Town 2 1 1 0 +2 4
18 Colliers Wood United 2 1 1 0 +2 4
19 Jersey Bulls 2 1 1 0 +2 4
20 Rugby Town 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Guisborough Town 2 1 1 0 +1 4
22 Blackfield & Langley 2 1 1 0 +1 4
23 Bishop's Cleeve 2 1 1 0 +1 4
24 Fakenham Town 2 1 1 0 +1 4
25 Walsall Wood 2 1 1 0 +1 4
26 Sherwood Colliery 2 1 1 0 +1 4
27 Ascot United 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 Waltham Abbey 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Colney Heath 2 1 1 0 +1 4
30 Ely City 2 1 1 0 +1 4
31 Newcastle Town 2 1 1 0 +1 4
32 Buckhurst Hill 2 1 1 0 +1 4
33 Aylesbury United 2 1 1 0 +1 4
34 Burgess Hill Town 2 1 1 0 +1 4
35 Witham Town 2 1 1 0 +1 4
36 Sherborne Town 2 1 1 0 +1 4
37 Hanley Town 2 1 1 0 +1 4
38 Skegness Town 2 1 1 0 +1 4
39 Grantham Town 2 1 1 0 +1 4
40 Kidsgrove Athletic 2 1 1 0 +1 4
41 Trafford 2 1 1 0 +1 4
42 Street 1 1 0 0 +8 3
43 Charnock Richard 1 1 0 0 +7 3
44 Wroxham 1 1 0 0 +7 3
45 Fareham Town 1 1 0 0 +6 3
46 Petersfield Town 1 1 0 0 +6 3
47 Wellingborough Town 1 1 0 0 +6 3
48 Erith & Belvedere 1 1 0 0 +6 3
49 Lower Breck 1 1 0 0 +5 3
50 Lancing 1 1 0 0 +5 3
51 Heaton Stannington 1 1 0 0 +5 3
52 FC Romania 1 1 0 0 +5 3
53 Whitstable Town 1 1 0 0 +5 3
54 Bewdley Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
55 Buckland Athletic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
56 Sawbridgeworth Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
57 West Allotment Celtic 1 1 0 0 +4 3
58 Paulton Rovers 1 1 0 0 +4 3
59 Ashington AFC 1 1 0 0 +4 3
60 Snodland Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
61 Farnham Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
62 Horley Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
63 East Grinstead Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
64 Steyning Town 1 1 0 0 +4 3
65 Cobham 1 1 0 0 +4 3
66 Heanor Town 1 1 0 0 +3 3
67 Tadley Calleva 1 1 0 0 +3 3
68 Dereham Town 1 1 0 0 +3 3
69 Mousehole 1 1 0 0 +3 3
70 Woodford Town 1 1 0 0 +3 3
71 Highworth Town 1 1 0 0 +3 3
72 Hullbridge Sports 1 1 0 0 +3 3
73 Gorleston 1 1 0 0 +3 3
74 Romford 1 1 0 0 +3 3
75 Consett 1 1 0 0 +3 3
76 Rugby Borough 1 1 0 0 +3 3
77 Rossington Main 1 1 0 0 +3 3
78 Bury AFC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
79 Ashford United 1 1 0 0 +3 3
80 Horndean 1 1 0 0 +3 3
81 Bemerton Heath Harleq. 1 1 0 0 +3 3
82 Atherstone Town 1 1 0 0 +3 3
83 Crowborough Athletic 1 1 0 0 +3 3
84 Pontefract Collieries 1 1 0 0 +3 3
85 Bishop Auckland 1 1 0 0 +3 3
86 Leighton Town 1 1 0 0 +3 3
87 Flackwell Heath 1 1 0 0 +3 3
88 Worcester City 1 1 0 0 +3 3
89 Shildon AFC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
90 Padiham 1 1 0 0 +3 3
91 Ipswich Wanderers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
92 Knaphill 1 1 0 0 +3 3
93 Lincoln United 1 1 0 0 +3 3
94 Ashby Ivanhoe 1 1 0 0 +3 3
95 Brockenhurst 1 1 0 0 +2 3
96 Leverstock Green 1 1 0 0 +2 3
97 Barton Rovers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
98 Bridgwater Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
99 Melksham Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
100 Badshot Lea 1 1 0 0 +2 3
101 Melton Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
102 Redhill 1 1 0 0 +2 3
103 Shifnal Town FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
104 Cribbs 1 1 0 0 +2 3
105 Barnstaple Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
106 Larkhall Athletic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
107 Wisbech Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
108 Barnoldswick Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
109 Bexhill United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
110 Grimsby Borough 1 1 0 0 +2 3
111 Easington Sports 1 1 0 0 +2 3
112 Newhaven 1 1 0 0 +2 3
113 Wallingford & Crowmarsh 1 1 0 0 +2 3
114 Faversham Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
115 Sevenoaks Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
116 Knaresborough Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
117 AFC Croydon Athletic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
118 Sutton Coldfield Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
119 Skelmersdale United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
120 Helston Athletic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
121 Little Oakley 1 1 0 0 +2 3
122 Bury Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
123 Milton Keynes Irish 1 1 0 0 +2 3
124 Prestwich Heys 1 1 0 0 +2 3
125 Darlaston Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
126 Stanway Rovers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
127 Bottesford Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
128 Eastwood Community 1 1 0 0 +2 3
129 St Blazey 1 1 0 0 +2 3
130 Bideford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
131 Ossett United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
132 Prescot Cables 1 1 0 0 +2 3
133 Gresley 1 1 0 0 +2 3
134 Mangotsfield United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
135 Deal Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
136 Enfield 1893 1 1 0 0 +2 3
137 Mildenhall Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
138 Shepshed Dynamo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
139 West Didsbury & Chorlton 1 1 0 0 +2 3
140 Woodbridge Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
141 Nailsea & Tickenham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
142 Virginia Water 1 1 0 0 +2 3
143 West Auckland Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
144 Stourport Swifts 1 1 0 0 +2 3
145 Maldon & Tiptree 1 1 0 0 +2 3
146 AFC Stoneham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
147 Bedfont Sports 1 1 0 0 +1 3
148 Uxbridge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
149 Worcester Raiders 1 1 0 0 +1 3
150 Laverstock & Ford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
151 Boldmere St. Michaels 1 1 0 0 +1 3
152 Leicester Road 1 1 0 0 +1 3
153 Studley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
154 Cambridge City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
155 Newark Flowserve 1 1 0 0 +1 3
156 Goole 1 1 0 0 +1 3
157 Reading City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
158 West Essex 1 1 0 0 +1 3
159 Bristol Manor Farm 1 1 0 0 +1 3
160 AFC Kempston Rovers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
161 Stansted 1 1 0 0 +1 3
162 Newmarket Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
163 Colne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
164 Spelthorne Sports 1 1 0 0 +1 3
165 Whitley Bay 1 1 0 0 +1 3
166 Clevedon Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
167 Midhurst & Easebourne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
168 Lordswood 1 1 0 0 +1 3
169 Mulbarton Wanderers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
170 Eastbourne United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
171 Penrith AFC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
172 Whitchurch Alport 1 1 0 0 +1 3
173 North Ferriby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
174 Falmouth Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
175 Whickham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
176 Merstham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
177 AFC Dunstable 1 1 0 0 +1 3
178 Epsom & Ewell FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
179 VCD Athletic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
180 AFC Portchester 1 1 0 0 +1 3
181 Wythenshawe Amateurs 1 1 0 0 +1 3
182 Seaham Red Star 1 1 0 0 +1 3
183 Saffron Walden Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
184 Moneyfields 1 1 0 0 +1 3
185 Tadcaster Albion 1 1 0 0 +1 3
186 Congleton Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
187 Wokingham Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
188 United Services 1 1 0 0 +1 3
189 Kirkley & Pakefield 1 1 0 0 +1 3
190 Ashford Town (Middlesex) 1 1 0 0 +1 3
191 Burscough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
192 Southall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
193 Barking 1 1 0 0 +1 3
194 Kennington 1 1 0 0 +1 3
195 Sheerwater 1 1 0 0 +1 3
196 East Thurrock United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
197 Shaftesbury Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
198 Lydd Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
199 Ramsbottom United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
200 Stansfeld 2 0 2 0 +0 2
201 Sporting Bengal United 2 0 2 0 +0 2
202 Westfields 2 0 2 0 +0 2
203 Cogenhoe United 2 0 2 0 +0 2
204 Desborough Town 2 0 2 0 +0 2
205 Potton United 2 0 2 0 +0 2
206 Boston United 2 0 2 0 +0 2
207 Anstey Nomads 2 0 2 0 +0 2
208 Albion Sports 1 0 1 0 +0 1
209 Chadderton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
210 Tuffley Rovers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
211 Aylesbury Vale Dynamos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
212 Clacton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
213 Real Bedford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
214 AFC Emley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
215 Avro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
216 Malvern Town 2 0 1 1 -1 1
217 Newton Aycliffe 2 0 1 1 -1 1
218 Oldland Abbotonians 2 0 1 1 -1 1
219 Thornbury Town 2 0 1 1 -1 1
220 St Neots Town 2 0 1 1 -1 1
221 Highgate United 2 0 1 1 -1 1
222 Aylestone Park 2 0 1 1 -1 1
223 Ardley United 2 0 1 1 -1 1
224 Edgware Town 2 0 1 1 -1 1
225 Ilford 2 0 1 1 -1 1
226 Eynesbury Rovers 2 0 1 1 -1 1
227 Romulus 2 0 1 1 -1 1
228 Brantham Athletic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
229 Fairford Town 2 0 1 1 -1 1
230 Sutton Common Rovers 2 0 1 1 -1 1
231 St. Panteleimon 2 0 1 1 -1 1
232 Shepton Mallet 2 0 1 1 -1 1
233 Hereford Pegasus 2 0 1 1 -1 1
234 AFC Mansfield 2 0 1 1 -1 1
235 Loughborough University 2 0 1 1 -1 1
236 Lye Town 2 0 1 1 -1 1
237 Golcar United 2 0 1 1 -1 1
238 Tooting & Mitcham United 2 0 1 1 -2 1
239 Godmanchester Rovers 2 0 1 1 -2 1
240 Redbridge 2 0 1 1 -2 1
241 City of Liverpool 2 0 1 1 -2 1
242 Three Bridges 2 0 1 1 -2 1
243 Wembley 2 0 1 1 -2 1
244 Pinchbeck United 2 0 1 1 -2 1
245 Brixham 2 0 1 1 -2 1
246 Quorn 2 0 1 1 -2 1
247 Loughborough Dynamo 2 0 1 1 -2 1
248 Abbey Rangers 2 0 1 1 -2 1
249 Sittingbourne 2 0 1 1 -2 1
250 Hallam 2 0 1 1 -3 1
251 Lydney Town 2 0 1 1 -3 1
252 Chipstead 2 0 1 1 -3 1
253 Fisher 2 0 1 1 -3 1
254 Hythe & Dibden 2 0 1 1 -4 1
255 Longridge Town 2 0 1 1 -4 1
256 Hassocks 2 0 1 1 -4 1
257 Baffins Milton Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
258 Corinthian 1 0 0 1 -1 0
259 Tunbridge Wells 1 0 0 1 -1 0
260 Belper United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
261 Andover New Street 1 0 0 1 -1 0
262 Lichfield City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
263 Bugbrooke St Michaels 1 0 0 1 -1 0
264 Coventry United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
265 Hadleigh United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
266 Hucknall Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
267 Thackley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
268 Slimbridge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
269 Crawley Green 1 0 0 1 -1 0
270 Thame United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
271 Harleston Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
272 Stotfold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
273 Thetford Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
274 Glossop North End 1 0 0 1 -1 0
275 Loxwood 1 0 0 1 -1 0
276 Garforth Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
277 Wantage Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
278 Holmesdale 1 0 0 1 -1 0
279 Egham Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
280 Sheringham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
281 Phoenix Sports 1 0 0 1 -1 0
282 Boro Rangers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
283 Cheadle Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
284 Crook Town AFC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
285 Exmouth 1 0 0 1 -1 0
286 Carlisle City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
287 Raynes Park Vale 1 0 0 1 -1 0
288 Newport Pagnell Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
289 Horsham YMCA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
290 Sandhurst Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
291 Wells City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
292 Campion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
293 Pickering Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
294 Great Wakering Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
295 Westbury United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
296 Redcar Athletic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
297 Wythenshawe Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
298 Cinderford Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
299 Christchurch 1 0 0 1 -1 0
300 Downham Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
301 Uckfield Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
302 Pilkington 1 0 0 1 -1 0
303 Chichester City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
304 Cockfosters 1 0 0 1 -1 0
305 Glebe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
306 Broadbridge Heath 1 0 0 1 -1 0
307 Frenford 1 0 0 1 -1 0
308 Brislington 1 0 0 1 -1 0
309 Camberley Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
310 Stockport Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
311 Fleet Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
312 White Ensign 1 0 0 1 -2 0
313 London Lions 1 0 0 1 -2 0
314 Liskeard Athletic 1 0 0 1 -2 0
315 Cowes Sports 1 0 0 1 -2 0
316 Saltdean United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
317 Winterton Rangers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
318 Hilltop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
319 Hereford Lads Club 1 0 0 1 -2 0
320 Longlevens 1 0 0 1 -2 0
321 Saltash United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
322 Corsham Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
323 March Town United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
324 Handsworth Parramore 1 0 0 1 -2 0
325 North Greenford United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
326 Barton Town Old Boys 1 0 0 1 -2 0
327 Burnham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
328 Little Common 1 0 0 1 -2 0
329 Chalfont St Peter 1 0 0 1 -2 0
330 Eastbourne Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
331 Lingfield 1 0 0 1 -2 0
332 Frickley Athletic 1 0 0 1 -2 0
333 Sutton Athletic 1 0 0 1 -2 0
334 Wolverhampton Casuals 1 0 0 1 -2 0
335 Northwich Victoria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
336 Willand Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
337 Baldock Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
338 Biggleswade United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
339 Dunstable Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
340 Bootle 1 0 0 1 -2 0
341 Racing Club Warwick 1 0 0 1 -2 0
342 Harpenden Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
343 Oadby Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
344 Kimberley Miners Welfare 1 0 0 1 -2 0
345 Wendron United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
346 Wellington AFC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
347 1874 Northwich 1 0 0 1 -2 0
348 Eccleshill United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
349 AFC Wulfrunians 1 0 0 1 -2 0
350 Royal Wootton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
351 Guildford City 1 0 0 1 -2 0
352 Coggeshall Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
353 Soham Town Rangers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
354 Sleaford Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
355 Vauxhall Motors 1 0 0 1 -2 0
356 Norwich United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
357 Tring Athletic 1 0 0 1 -2 0
358 Risborough Rangers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
359 Northallerton Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
360 Coventry Sphinx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
361 Shefford Town & Campton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
362 Bedworth United 1 0 0 1 -3 0
363 Alton Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
364 Walsham Le Willows 1 0 0 1 -3 0
365 Ilfracombe Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
366 Hertford Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
367 Brimscombe & Thrupp 1 0 0 1 -3 0
368 Takeley 1 0 0 1 -3 0
369 Heacham 1 0 0 1 -3 0
370 Halstead Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
371 Kendal Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
372 Tividale 1 0 0 1 -3 0
373 Leicester Nirvana 1 0 0 1 -3 0
374 Uttoxeter Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
375 Hollands & Blair 1 0 0 1 -3 0
376 Portland United 1 0 0 1 -3 0
377 Bournemouth FC 1 0 0 1 -3 0
378 Stone Old Alleynians 1 0 0 1 -3 0
379 Shoreham 1 0 0 1 -3 0
380 Birtley Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
381 Bridlington Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
382 Basildon United 1 0 0 1 -3 0
383 Kidlington 1 0 0 1 -3 0
384 Dudley Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
385 Newcastle Benfield 1 0 0 1 -3 0
386 Silsden 1 0 0 1 -3 0
387 Histon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
388 Varndeanians 1 0 0 1 -3 0
389 Lutterworth Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
390 Deeping Rangers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
391 Daventry Town 1 0 0 1 -4 0
392 Torpoint Athletic 1 0 0 1 -4 0
393 Arlesey Town 1 0 0 1 -4 0
394 Sunderland RCA 1 0 0 1 -4 0
395 Thatcham Town 1 0 0 1 -4 0
396 North Shields 1 0 0 1 -4 0
397 Broadfields United 1 0 0 1 -4 0
398 Harefield United 1 0 0 1 -4 0
399 Punjab United 1 0 0 1 -4 0
400 Pagham 1 0 0 1 -4 0
401 Balham 1 0 0 1 -4 0
402 Welling Town 1 0 0 1 -4 0
403 AFC Liverpool 1 0 0 1 -5 0
404 Rusthall 1 0 0 1 -5 0
405 Tow Law Town 1 0 0 1 -5 0
406 Tilbury 1 0 0 1 -5 0
407 Haywards Heath Town 1 0 0 1 -5 0
408 Welton Rovers 1 0 0 1 -6 0
409 Lymington Town 1 0 0 1 -6 0
410 Long Melford 1 0 0 1 -6 0
411 Littlehampton Town 1 0 0 1 -6 0
412 Squires Gate 1 0 0 1 -7 0
413 Yaxley 1 0 0 1 -7 0
414 Millbrook 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.