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Champions League
Referee: I Peljto
Qarabag
T S
3–2
Full-time
Zurich
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Zurich
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%
18 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Qarabag Zurich
14′
🟨 Marc Hornschuh
16′
🟨 Mirlind Kryeziu
1–0 Kady ⚽
F. Ozobić
17′
2–0 I. Wadji ⚽
36′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 C. Condé
↦ M. Hornschuh
R. Şeydayev 🔁
↦ F. Ozobić
59′
Kady Borges 🟨
61′
62′
🟨 Fidan Aliti
Ramil Sheydaev 🟨
64′
65′
⚽ L. Kamberi 2–1
Adrián Guerrero
3–1 I. Wadji ⚽
Kady
65′
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ E. Cəfərquliyev
71′
İ. İbrahimli 🔁
↦ M. Janković
71′
75′
🔁 O. Selnæs
↦ B. Džemaili
76′
🔁 A. Tosin
↦ F. Rohner
76′
🔁 B. Krasniqi
↦ A. Marchesano
O. Kwabena 🔁
↦ I. Wadji
78′
A. Hüseynov 🔁
↦ M. Vešović
78′
85′
⚽ M. Kryeziu 3–2
88′
🟨 Ole Selnaes
90′
🔁 J. Okita
↦ W. Gnonto
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
29 M. Vešović D
5 M. Medvedev D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
8 M. Janković M
7 R. Almeyda M
20 Kady M
19 F. Ozobić M
10 A. Zoubir M
25 I. Wadji F
Bench (12)
77 R. Şeydayev
27 T. Bayramov
18 İ. İbrahimli
11 O. Kwabena
30 A. Hüseynov
23 L. Gugeshashvili
55 B. Hüseynov
4 R. Məmmədov
89 A. Ramazanov
13 B. Mustafazadə
15 Leandro Andrade
22 M. Qurbanlı

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Zurich

4-3-3
25 Y. Brecher G
19 N. Boranijašević D
2 L. Kamberi D
31 M. Kryeziu D
6 F. Aliti D
21 B. Džemaili M
16 M. Hornschuh M
3 Adrián Guerrero M
23 F. Rohner F
10 A. Marchesano F
22 W. Gnonto F
Bench (12)
17 C. Condé
8 O. Selnæs
15 A. Tosin
7 B. Krasniqi
11 J. Okita
39 A. Gogia
9 I. Santini
1 Ž. Kostadinović
33 S. Seiler
28 K. Mets
34 G. De Nitti
35 I. Sauter

Coach: F. Foda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Peljto · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.