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Champions League
Referee: A Lindhout
Zurich
T T T T U
2–2
Full-time
Qarabag
T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,3
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
5,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,7
Conceded
3,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
4 Offside 1
24 Free kicks against 22
6 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Jul -22 Qarabag – Zurich 3–2

Match report

Zurich Qarabag
0–1 M. Medvedev ⚽
own goal
4′
Mirlind Kryeziu 🟨
36′
39′
🟨 Marko Vešović
45′
🔁 B. Hüseynov
↦ K. Medina
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 T. Bayramov
↦ E. Cəfərquliyev
48′
🟨 Maksim Medvedev
50′
🟨 Richard Almeida
55′
⚽ Kady 0–2
Lindrit Kamberi 🟨
60′
66′
🔁 Q. Qarayev
↦ R. Almeyda
67′
🔁 O. Kwabena
↦ I. Wadji
A. Tosin 🔁
↦ F. Rohner
70′
J. Okita 🔁
↦ Adrián Guerrero
70′
M. Hornschuh 🔁
↦ O. Selnæs
71′
73′
🟨 Toral Bayramov
76′
🟨 Kady Borges
I. Santini 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
79′
Cheick Oumar Conde 🟨
84′
91′
🔁 B. Mustafazadə
↦ M. Medvedev
93′
🟨 Shahrudin Mahammadaliyev
93′
🟨 Abdellah Zoubir
1–2 I. Santini ⚽
95′
Ivan Santini 🟨
96′
98′
⚽ O. Kwabena 1–3
A. Zoubir
Jonathan Okita 🟨
102′
B. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ W. Gnonto
106′
Marc Hornschuh 🟨
107′
117′
🔁 A. Hüseynov
↦ M. Vešović
B. Omeragić 🔁
↦ C. Condé
119′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Zurich

4-3-3
25 Y. Brecher G
19 N. Boranijašević D
2 L. Kamberi D
31 M. Kryeziu M
6 F. Aliti D
8 O. Selnæs M
17 C. Condé D
3 Adrián Guerrero M
23 F. Rohner F
10 A. Marchesano F
22 W. Gnonto F
Bench (11)
15 A. Tosin
11 J. Okita
16 M. Hornschuh
9 I. Santini
7 B. Krasniqi
4 B. Omeragić
34 G. De Nitti
28 K. Mets
1 Ž. Kostadinović
33 S. Seiler
39 A. Gogia

Coach: F. Foda

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
29 M. Vešović D
5 M. Medvedev D
81 K. Medina M
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
8 M. Janković M
7 R. Almeyda D
77 R. Şeydayev M
20 Kady M
10 A. Zoubir M
25 I. Wadji F
Bench (12)
55 B. Hüseynov
27 T. Bayramov
2 Q. Qarayev
11 O. Kwabena
13 B. Mustafazadə
30 A. Hüseynov
89 A. Ramazanov
15 Leandro Andrade
22 M. Qurbanlı
19 F. Ozobić
6 Júlio Romão
23 L. Gugeshashvili

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.