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Eliteserien
Molde
T T U U S
2–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 20/21 matches
Win Ø 37%
40%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
65%
52%
Both score Ø 61%
60%
62%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Molde 7. · Lillestrom 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 21 16 3 2 +38 51
2 Stabaek 21 13 5 3 +16 44
3 Viking 22 13 1 8 +15 40
4 Valerenga 22 11 3 8 +6 36
5 Odd 21 9 8 4 +10 35
6 Stromsgodset 20 10 3 7 +6 33
7 Molde 20 8 6 6 +17 30
8 Bodo/Glimt 21 9 2 10 -3 29
9 Lillestrom 21 7 7 7 -4 28
10 Aalesund 22 8 4 10 -14 28
11 Haugesund 21 6 6 9 -11 24
12 Sarpsborg 08 21 5 8 8 -5 23
13 Start 21 5 4 12 -14 19
14 Mjondalen 21 4 7 10 -17 19
15 Tromso 21 4 5 12 -13 17
16 Sandefjord 22 3 4 15 -27 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. May -15 Lillestrom – Molde 2–1

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.