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Premier League

Referee: Jonathan Moss

Southampton

U T U

3–0

Full-time

Norwich

T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Southampton Norwich

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

23 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Southampton 19. · Norwich 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Crystal Palace	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Leicester	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Man United	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Arsenal	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Liverpool	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	West Ham	4	2	0	2	+3	6
8	Swansea	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Everton	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Norwich	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Bournemouth	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Aston Villa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Chelsea	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	West Brom	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Tottenham	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Watford	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Stoke	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Newcastle	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Southampton	3	0	2	1	-3	2
20	Sunderland	4	0	2	2	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Leicester	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Man United	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Liverpool	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	Tottenham	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Watford	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Chelsea	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Aston Villa	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Bournemouth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Everton	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Norwich	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Sunderland	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Arsenal	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Stoke	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	West Brom	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Ham	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Man City	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Crystal Palace	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Everton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Leicester	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Liverpool	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	West Brom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Swansea	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Stoke	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Southampton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Tottenham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Sunderland	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Watford	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Newcastle	2	0	1	1	-2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.