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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Motherwell
T S U T S
2–1
Full-time
Livingston
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
26%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
37%
37%
Both score Ø 42%
47%
37%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
11 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 6
13 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 4. · Livingston 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 19 15 3 1 +27 48
2 Celtic 20 14 3 3 +30 45
3 Hearts 19 9 6 4 +10 33
4 Motherwell 19 8 4 7 -3 28
5 Hibernian 19 7 5 7 +0 26
6 Dundee United 19 7 4 8 -5 25
7 Aberdeen 19 7 3 9 +0 24
8 Livingston 19 5 5 9 -9 20
9 St Mirren 19 3 10 6 -11 19
10 Ross County 19 4 6 9 -7 18
11 Dundee 19 4 4 11 -18 16
12 ST Johnstone 20 3 5 12 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Aug -21 Livingston – Motherwell 1–2 6. Mar -21 Motherwell – Livingston 3–1 31. Oct -20 Livingston – Motherwell 0–2 12. Aug -20 Motherwell – Livingston 2–2 1. Feb -20 Livingston – Motherwell 1–0

Match report

Motherwell Livingston
1–0 K. van Veen ⚽
13′
42′
🟨 Craig Sibbald
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Jackson Longridge
60′
🔁 B. Anderson
↦ C. Sibbald
2–0 K. van Veen ⚽
C. Shields
69′
71′
🔁 H. Panayiotou
↦ A. Forrest
74′
🔁 J. McMillan
↦ S. Oméonga
J. Ojala 🔁
↦ S. Johansen
79′
L. Grimshaw 🔁
↦ C. Shields
84′
85′
🟨 Sean Kelly
87′
⚽ B. Anderson 2–1
J. Penrice
J. Roberts 🔁
↦ K. Woolery
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 L. Kelly G
2 S. O'Donnell D
19 N. McGinley D
21 S. Johansen D
5 B. Mugabi D
22 L. Donnelly M
27 S. Goss M
6 B. Maguire M
9 K. van Veen F
7 K. Woolery F
29 C. Shields F
Bench (7)
14 J. Ojala
23 L. Grimshaw
28 J. Roberts
12 S. Fox
17 J. Amaluzor
32 T. Watt
20 R. Crawford

Coach: G. Alexander

Livingston

3-1-4-2
32 M. Stryjek G
24 S. Kelly M
6 A. Obileye D
3 J. Longridge D
5 J. Fitzwater D
29 J. Penrice M
18 J. Holt M
10 C. Sibbald M
17 A. Forrest F
33 S. Oméonga M
22 A. Shinnie F
Bench (6)
9 B. Anderson
15 H. Panayiotou
21 J. McMillan
36 G. Maley
40 M. Bartley
23 J. Hamilton

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,35
🔒
U
3,14
🔒
B
3,14
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,31
🔒
U2,5
1,60
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.