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Europa League
Referee: F Letexier
Sp Lisbon
S U S T U
1–1
Full-time
Juventus
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
20%
80%
Points per game
1,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
40%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
2,6
1,8
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,99 xG 1,48
59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Apr -23 Juventus – Sp Lisbon 1–0

Match report

Sp Lisbon Juventus
9′
⚽ A. Rabiot 0–1
Alex Sandro
1–1 M. Edwards ⚽
20′
Manuel Ugarte 🟨
24′
Half-time 1–1
71′
🔁 A. Milik
↦ D. Vlahović
72′
🔁 P. Pogba
↦ F. Miretti
73′
🔁 F. Gatti
↦ Bremer
78′
🔁 F. Kostić
↦ F. Chiesa
Youssef Chermiti 🔁
↦ Trincão
81′
Matheus Reis 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Inácio
81′
83′
🟨 Federico Gatti
Arthur Gomes 🔁
↦ Nuno Santos
87′
89′
🟨 Paul Pogba
Marcus Edwards 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
1 Adán G
26 O. Diomande D
4 S. Coates D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
15 M. Ugarte M
5 H. Morita M
11 Nuno Santos M
10 M. Edwards F
28 Pote F
17 Trincão F
Bench (12)
79 Youssef Chermiti
2 Matheus Reis
33 Arthur Gomes
51 Diogo Pinto
32 M. Tanlongo
84 Dário Essugo
12 F. Israel
18 I. Fatawu
13 Luís Carlos
19 Héctor Bellerín
6 S. Alexandropoulos
16 Rochinha

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Juventus

4-3-3
1 W. Szczęsny G
11 J. Cuadrado D
6 Danilo D
3 Bremer D
12 Alex Sandro D
25 A. Rabiot M
5 M. Locatelli M
20 F. Miretti M
22 Á. Di María F
9 D. Vlahović F
7 F. Chiesa F
Bench (12)
14 A. Milik
10 P. Pogba
15 F. Gatti
17 F. Kostić
24 D. Rugani
30 M. Soulé
36 M. Perin
19 L. Bonucci
32 L. Paredes
23 C. Pinsoglio
44 N. Fagioli
2 M. De Sciglio

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.