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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Moreirense

U S T S T

2–4

Full-time

Porto

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 53%

25%

81%

Points per game

1,1

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

44%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

56%

31%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,1

2,1

Conceded

1,3

0,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

33% Possession 67%

8 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Moreirense 14. · Porto 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	17	16	0	1	+35	48
2	Porto	16	13	2	1	+27	41
3	Famalicao	16	9	3	4	+7	30
4	Sp Lisbon	15	8	2	5	+8	26
5	Rio Ave	17	7	4	6	+2	25
6	Guimaraes	16	5	7	4	+6	22
7	Sp Braga	16	6	3	7	+4	21
8	Tondela	16	5	5	6	-3	20
9	Gil Vicente	16	4	7	5	-2	19
10	Boavista	16	4	7	5	-2	19
11	Setubal	15	4	7	4	-5	19
12	Vitoria Setubal	15	4	7	4	-5	19
13	Maritimo	16	4	7	5	-7	19
14	Moreirense	16	4	6	6	-2	18
15	Santa Clara	17	4	6	7	-8	18
16	Belenenses	15	4	3	8	-16	15
17	Portimonense	16	2	8	6	-9	14
18	Pacos Ferreira	16	4	2	10	-12	14
19	Aves	17	2	0	15	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	10	9	0	1	+22	27
2	Porto	8	8	0	0	+22	24
3	Famalicao	8	6	1	1	+11	19
4	Gil Vicente	9	3	6	0	+5	15
5	Guimaraes	8	4	2	2	+9	14
6	Moreirense	7	4	2	1	+5	14
7	Rio Ave	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Setubal	8	3	5	0	+3	14
9	Vitoria Setubal	8	3	5	0	+3	14
10	Sp Lisbon	7	4	0	3	+3	12
11	Sp Braga	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	Maritimo	8	2	4	2	-1	10
13	Boavista	8	2	4	2	-1	10
14	Pacos Ferreira	9	3	1	5	-2	10
15	Santa Clara	10	2	3	5	-6	9
16	Belenenses	7	2	1	4	-9	7
17	Aves	7	2	0	5	-2	6
18	Portimonense	7	1	3	3	-3	6
19	Tondela	7	1	2	4	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Porto	8	5	2	1	+5	17
3	Tondela	9	4	3	2	+1	15
4	Sp Lisbon	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Rio Ave	8	3	2	3	-1	11
6	Famalicao	8	3	2	3	-4	11
7	Sp Braga	9	3	1	5	+3	10
8	Boavista	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Santa Clara	7	2	3	2	-2	9
10	Maritimo	8	2	3	3	-6	9
11	Guimaraes	8	1	5	2	-3	8
12	Portimonense	9	1	5	3	-6	8
13	Belenenses	8	2	2	4	-7	8
14	Setubal	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Vitoria Setubal	7	1	2	4	-8	5
16	Moreirense	9	0	4	5	-7	4
17	Gil Vicente	7	1	1	5	-7	4
18	Pacos Ferreira	7	1	1	5	-10	4
19	Aves	10	0	0	10	-16	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.