KNVB Beker
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Go Ahead Eagles
De Treffers
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 4–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hercules
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 2 |
RKAV Volendam
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 9 |
| 3 |
DEM
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 4 |
Quick Boys
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 |
Excelsior Maassluis
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |
Nijmegen
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 7 |
Cambuur
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 8 |
Groene Ster
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 6 |
| 9 |
De Treffers
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 10 |
Sparta Nijkerk
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 11 |
Groningen
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Den Haag
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |
For Sittard
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 14 |
Spakenburg
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 15 |
Excelsior
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |
Hoogeveen
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 17 |
AFC Amsterdam
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 18 |
Eemdijk
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Ijsselmeervogels
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 20 |
OJC Rosmalen
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |
UNA
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 |
GVVV Veenendaal
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 23 |
Gemert
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 24 |
RKSV Nuenen
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 25 |
SVV Scheveningen
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 26 |
SJC Noordwijk
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 27 |
TEC
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 28 |
Almere City
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 3 |
| 29 |
Katwijk
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 30 |
Kloetinge
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 31 |
Heerenveen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 32 |
VV Scherpenzeel
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 33 |
Blauw Geel
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 34 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 35 |
GVV Unitas
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 36 |
HHC
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 37 |
Meerssen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 38 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 39 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 40 |
Noordwijk
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 41 |
Vitesse
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 42 |
Harkemase Boys
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 43 |
Willem II
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 44 |
Utrecht
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 45 |
Hoek
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 46 |
Sportlust '46
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 47 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 48 |
De Graafschap
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 49 |
Koninklijke HFC
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 50 |
Dordrecht
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 51 |
Westlandia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 52 |
HVCH
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 53 |
FC Lisse
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 54 |
Csv Apeldoorn
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 55 |
Olde Veste '54
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 56 |
FC Eindhoven
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 57 |
DVS 33 Ermelo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 58 |
Barendrecht
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 59 |
Staphorst
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 60 |
Rijnvogels
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 61 |
Dovo
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 62 |
Vvsb
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 63 |
Hsc 21
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 64 |
Waalwijk
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 65 |
Ajax
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 66 |
SteDoCo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 67 |
Den Bosch
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 68 |
SC Genemuiden
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 69 |
Berkum
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 70 |
TOGB
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 71 |
Bon Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 72 |
AWC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 73 |
AGB
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 74 |
Veensche Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 75 |
Kozakken Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 76 |
ADO '20
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 77 |
URK
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 78 |
NAC Breda
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 79 |
Zwolle
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 80 |
Telstar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 81 |
Baronie
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 82 |
XerxesDZB (Zat)
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 83 |
Volendam
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 84 |
FC OSS
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 85 |
Rijnsburgse Boys
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 86 |
HSV ODIN 59
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 87 |
Roda
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 88 |
Jubbega
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 89 |
Chevremont
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 90 |
Kampong
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 91 |
Helmond Sport
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 92 |
HV & CV Quick
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 93 |
FC Emmen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 94 |
ONS Sneek
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 95 |
Heracles
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 96 |
Nieuwkoop
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 97 |
Purmersteijn
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 98 |
MVV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 99 |
Avanti '31
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 100 |
VVV Venlo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 101 |
OSS '20
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 102 |
ACV
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 103 |
SVOD '22
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 104 |
Zwaluw VFC
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 105 |
Blauw Wit '34
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 106 |
Bunde
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 107 |
Groen Wit '62
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 108 |
BOL
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. de Lange
G
M. Deijl
D
J. Amofa
D
J. Kramer
D
B. Kuipers
D
E. Linthorst
M
J. Breum
M
W. Willumsson
M
O. Edvardsen
M
Coach: R. Hake
Coach: L. Echteld
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles
Utrecht
Go Ahead Eagles
Twente
Waalwijk
Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles
Vitesse
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.