Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Feyenoord
Volendam
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 | +46 | +34.6 | 45 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +28 | +27.2 | 32 |
| 3 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | +13.7 | 30 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +13 | +9.1 | 30 |
| 5 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +5 | -8.1 | 21 |
| 6 |
Ajax
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +4 | +2.9 | 21 |
| 7 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +1 | -1.5 | 21 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
|
15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -5 | -3.3 | 19 |
| 9 |
Zwolle
|
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -3 | -3.6 | 17 |
| 10 |
Excelsior
|
14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -3 | -5.0 | 16 |
| 11 |
For Sittard
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -9 | -2.5 | 16 |
| 12 |
Heracles
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -13 | -8.2 | 15 |
| 13 |
Nijmegen
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | -12.8 | 14 |
| 14 |
Utrecht
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -11 | -10.5 | 13 |
| 15 |
Waalwijk
|
14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | -12 | -4.4 | 13 |
| 16 |
Almere City
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -18 | -8.2 | 13 |
| 17 |
Volendam
|
14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -21 | -8.4 | 8 |
| 18 |
Vitesse
|
14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -22 | -10.8 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Bijlow
G
L. Geertruida
D
D. Hancko
D
M. López
D
M. Wieffer
M
Q. Timber
M
S. Giménez
F
Coach: A. Slot
M. Backhaus
G
O. Buur
D
X. Mbuyamba
D
C. Twigt
M
L. Zeefuik
F
Coach: M. Dingsdag
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Ath Madrid
Excelsior
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
Lazio
Feyenoord
M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.