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Puchar Polski

Referee: K Arys

Carina Gubin

S S

2–5

Full-time

Piast Gliwice

U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carina Gubin Piast Gliwice

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,5

Scored

2,5

0,8

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Puchar Polski · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,5

Conceded

0,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Carina Gubin 8. · Piast Gliwice 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Jagiellonia	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Korona Kielce	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Piast Gliwice	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Wisla	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Arka Gdynia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Carina Gubin	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Stal Rzeszów	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Warta Poznan	3	2	0	1	+3	6
11	Rakow	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Stal Mielec	3	2	0	1	+2	6
13	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Wisła Puławy	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Cracovia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	Garbarnia Kraków	3	2	0	1	+0	6
17	Polonia Warszawa	3	2	0	1	-1	6
18	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Legia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Polonia Bytom	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Znicz Pruszków	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Podbeskidzie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Stal Stalowa Wola	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Stal Brzeg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Puszcza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Legia Warszawa II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Resovia Rzeszów	2	1	0	1	-1	3
34	LKS Lodz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	Pogoń Siedlce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Tychy 71	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
38	Jastrzębie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Nieciecza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
40	Kalisz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
41	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Sokół Kleczew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Jagiellonia II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	KSZO 1929	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Gryf Wejherowo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Start Krasnystaw	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Carina Gubin	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Wisła Puławy	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Stal Brzeg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Legia Warszawa II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Garbarnia Kraków	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Pogoń Siedlce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Tychy 71	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Kalisz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Sokół Kleczew	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Jagiellonia II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	KSZO 1929	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Gryf Wejherowo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Polonia Bytom	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	LKS Lodz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Start Krasnystaw	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Piast Gliwice	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Arka Gdynia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Warta Poznan	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Stal Mielec	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Korona Kielce	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Polonia Bytom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Legia	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Resovia Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Garbarnia Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Puszcza	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Polonia Warszawa	2	1	0	1	-2	3
25	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
26	Nieciecza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Jastrzębie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Ruch Chorzow	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Radomiak Radom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Unia Skierniewice	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Carina Gubin Piast Gliwice

B. Rutkowski 🟨

12′

20′

⚽ G. Tomasiewicz 0–1

27′

⚽ P. Dziczek 0–2

Half-time 0–2

46′

🔁 A. Pyrka

↦ D. Kądzior

46′

🔁 T. Huk

↦ J. Czerwiński

1–2 D. Matuszewski ⚽

50′

55′

🔁 J. Holúbek

↦ A. Katránis

62′

🟨 A. Mosor

2–2 D. Matuszewski ⚽

64′

69′

🔁 M. Chrapek

↦ P. Dziczek

D. Paraszczak 🔁

↦ J. Łoboda

74′

M. Szela 🔁

↦ P. Haraszkiewicz

80′

82′

⚽ M. Ameyaw 2–3

D. Matuszewski 🟨

85′

87′

⚽ A. Mosór 2–4

A. Amonov 🔁

↦ M. Diduszko

89′

H. Konstanty 🔁

↦ D. Matuszewski

89′

P. Szymański 🔁

↦ D. Plonka

89′

🔁 M. Bykowski

↦ M. Szczepański

R. Grabovskyi 🟨

92′

94′

⚽ M. Chrapek 2–5

Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Carina Gubin

T. Seweryn

K. Staszkowian

R. Grabovskyi

D. Plonka

B. Rutkowski

M. Diduszko

D. Więcek

M. Nazar

J. Łoboda

D. Matuszewski

P. Haraszkiewicz

Bench (9)

D. Paraszczak

M. Szela

A. Amonov

H. Konstanty

P. Szymański

D. Radziński

I. Kyziol

K. Antosiak

O. Kozdroń

Coach: G. Kopernicki

Piast Gliwice

F. Plach

J. Czerwiński

T. Mokwa

A. Katránis

A. Mosór

D. Kądzior

G. Tomasiewicz

P. Dziczek

M. Szczepański

M. Ameyaw

Jorge Félix

Bench (9)

A. Pyrka

T. Huk

J. Holúbek

M. Chrapek

M. Bykowski

F. Karbowy

K. Szymański

Miguel Muñoz

T. Kostadinov

Coach: A. Vukovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

31. Oct CUP 2 years ago

27. Sep CUP 2 years ago

Referee

K Arys · 61 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,1 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

23,3 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Carina Gubin

Piast Gliwice

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee