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Eredivisie
Referee: Christaan Bax
Twente
S T T T T
4–1
Full-time
FC Emmen
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
70%
70%
Both score Ø 65%
80%
50%
Average goals
3,6
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

45% Possession 55%
17 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 12. · FC Emmen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 10 8 2 0 +24 26
2 PSV Eindhoven 10 7 2 1 +17 23
3 Vitesse 10 7 2 1 +9 23
4 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 2 2 +13 20
5 Utrecht 10 5 2 3 +7 17
6 Heerenveen 10 4 4 2 +5 16
7 Willem II 10 5 1 4 -2 16
8 Sparta Rotterdam 10 4 3 3 +0 15
9 Heracles 10 4 3 3 -1 15
10 Feyenoord 10 3 5 2 +1 14
11 Groningen 10 4 1 5 +0 13
12 Twente 10 3 3 4 -2 12
13 Zwolle 10 3 1 6 -6 10
14 FC Emmen 10 3 1 6 -7 10
15 VVV Venlo 10 3 0 7 -14 9
16 Den Haag 10 2 0 8 -10 6
17 For Sittard 10 1 3 6 -12 6
18 Waalwijk 10 0 1 9 -22 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente FC Emmen
1–0 H. Vučkič
Javier Espinosa
24′
2–0 H. Vučkič
30′
32′
🟨 Michael Chacon
3–0 L. Selahi
R. Zekhnini
42′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 K. Veendorp
↦ J. Arias
50′
K. Veendorp 3–1
L. Slagveer
58′
🟨 Ferhat Görgülü
Q. Menig 🔁
↦ R. Zekhnini
70′
71′
🔁 M. Kolar
↦ L. Slagveer
W. Brama 🔁
↦ Javier Espinosa
77′
78′
🔁 F. Ugrinic
↦ T. Hiariej
88′
🟨 Dennis Telgenkamp
4–1 Aitor Cantalapiedra
88′
G. Aburjania 🔁
↦ L. Selahi
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
3 X. Schenk D
4 C. Verdonk D
19 J. Latibeaudiere D
10 H. Vučkič F
8 Javier Espinosa M
20 Oriol Busquets D
29 G. Roemeratoe M
18 L. Selahi M
7 Aitor Cantalapiedra F
14 R. Zekhnini F
Bench (9)
11 Q. Menig
6 W. Brama
21 G. Aburjania
25 P. Bijen
13 K. Nakamura
26 J. Brondeel
9 E. Berggreen
2 P. Verhaegh
22 J. de Lange

Coach: Gonzalo García

FC Emmen

4-2-3-1
26 D. Telgenkamp G
14 F. Görgülü D
28 L. Burnet D
2 M. Heylen D
15 T. Hiariej D
8 M. de Leeuw M
20 M. Chacón M
17 S. Peña M
29 L. Slagveer M
11 N. Laursen M
25 J. Arias F
Bench (10)
3 K. Veendorp
9 M. Kolar
21 F. Ugrinic
32 R. de Vos
12 F. Quispel
93 S. van der Lei
18 R. Roosken
30 H. Bos
27 L. Sopić
16 R. Jalving

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,77
U
3,94
B
4,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,43
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christaan Bax · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.