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Primeira Liga
Referee: Tiago Martins
Famalicao
T U S T S
2–1
Full-time
Vizela
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Famalicao Vizela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 33%
29%
36%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
43%
29%
Both score Ø 29%
29%
29%
Average goals
2,2
1,9
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Famalicao 14. · Vizela 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 15 13 1 1 +28 40
2 Sp Braga 15 11 1 3 +24 34
3 Porto 14 10 2 2 +26 32
4 Sp Lisbon 14 9 1 4 +14 28
5 Casa Pia 14 8 2 4 +4 26
6 Guimaraes 14 7 2 5 -2 23
7 Rio Ave 14 5 4 5 -2 19
8 Portimonense 15 6 1 8 -4 19
9 Chaves 14 5 4 5 -5 19
10 Arouca 14 5 4 5 -9 19
11 Vizela 14 5 3 6 +1 18
12 Boavista 13 5 2 6 -9 17
13 Estoril 13 4 4 5 -4 16
14 Famalicao 14 4 2 8 -5 14
15 Santa Clara 15 3 4 8 -7 13
16 Gil Vicente 14 3 3 8 -9 12
17 Maritimo 14 1 4 9 -19 7
18 Pacos Ferreira 14 0 2 12 -22 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Famalicao Vizela
18′
🟨 Bruno Wilson
Iván Jaime 🟨
32′
43′
🟨 Igor Julião
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Alexandre Penetra
Iván Jaime
46′
49′
Kiko Bondoso 1–1
Samú
Gustavo Assunção 🟨
62′
66′
🟨 Matheus Pereira
Rui Fonte 🔁
↦ Gustavo Sá
67′
Ivo Rodrigues 🔁
↦ Pablo
67′
72′
🟨 Samu
75′
🟨 Claudemir
75′
🔁 A. Méndez
↦ Kiko Bondoso
David Tavares 🔁
↦ Gustavo Assunção
79′
2–1 Iván Jaime
Ivo Rodrigues
81′
82′
🔁 Tomás Silva
↦ Samú
82′
🔁 K. Zohi
↦ Nuno Moreira
85′
🟨 Alex Méndez
89′
🔁 F. Etim
↦ Claudemir
89′
🔁 Carlos Muñoz
↦ Matheus Pereira
Santiago Colombatto 🟨
92′
Z. Youssouf 🔁
↦ Iván Jaime
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Famalicao

3-4-3
31 Luíz Júnior G
6 Alexandre Penetra D
15 Riccieli D
4 E. Mihaj D
77 Pablo M
12 Gustavo Assunção M
97 S. Colombatto M
74 Francisco Moura M
20 Gustavo Sá F
29 J. Cádiz F
10 Iván Jaime F
Bench (9)
17 Rui Fonte
7 Ivo Rodrigues
18 David Tavares
28 Z. Youssouf
32 Martín Aguirregabiria
2 Diogo Queirós
1 I. Zlobin
5 Rúben Lima
14 J. Kadile

Coach: João Pedro Sousa

Vizela

4-2-3-1
97 F. Buntić G
14 Igor Julião D
3 Bruno Wilson D
5 Anderson D
16 Matheus Pereira D
6 Claudemir M
8 Raphael Guzzo M
79 Nuno Moreira M
20 Samú M
10 Kiko Bondoso M
9 M. Osmajić F
Bench (9)
19 A. Méndez
82 Tomás Silva
22 K. Zohi
90 F. Etim
7 Carlos Muñoz
4 Ivanildo Fernandes
23 Osama Rashid
13 Luiz Felipe
11 A. Schmidt

Coach: Tulipa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,43
U
3,12
B
3,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,25
U2,5
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tiago Martins · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.