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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vitor Ferreira

Benfica

S S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Portimonense

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,3

2,3

Scored

3,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 65%

86%

43%

Points per game

2,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

43%

Both score Ø 36%

36%

Average goals

3,4

2,1

Scored

2,6

0,9

Conceded

0,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,9

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%

27 Shots 1

12 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 11

12 Corners 2

4 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 1. · Portimonense 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	14	12	1	1	+27	37
2	Sp Braga	15	11	1	3	+24	34
3	Porto	14	10	2	2	+26	32
4	Sp Lisbon	14	9	1	4	+14	28
5	Casa Pia	14	8	2	4	+4	26
6	Guimaraes	14	7	2	5	-2	23
7	Rio Ave	14	5	4	5	-2	19
8	Portimonense	14	6	1	7	-3	19
9	Chaves	14	5	4	5	-5	19
10	Arouca	14	5	4	5	-9	19
11	Vizela	14	5	3	6	+1	18
12	Boavista	13	5	2	6	-9	17
13	Estoril	13	4	4	5	-4	16
14	Famalicao	14	4	2	8	-5	14
15	Santa Clara	15	3	4	8	-7	13
16	Gil Vicente	14	3	3	8	-9	12
17	Maritimo	14	1	4	9	-19	7
18	Pacos Ferreira	14	0	2	12	-22	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	7	7	0	0	+20	21
2	Porto	7	6	0	1	+20	18
3	Sp Lisbon	7	6	0	1	+15	18
4	Guimaraes	7	5	1	1	+4	16
5	Sp Braga	7	4	1	2	+9	13
6	Rio Ave	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Boavista	7	3	2	2	-3	11
8	Casa Pia	7	3	1	3	+1	10
9	Portimonense	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Arouca	7	3	1	3	-3	10
11	Famalicao	6	3	0	3	+1	9
12	Santa Clara	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Gil Vicente	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Vizela	7	2	1	4	+0	7
15	Chaves	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Estoril	6	1	2	3	-6	5
17	Maritimo	6	0	2	4	-4	2
18	Pacos Ferreira	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	8	7	0	1	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	+7	16
3	Casa Pia	7	5	1	1	+3	16
4	Porto	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Chaves	7	4	0	3	-4	12
6	Estoril	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Vizela	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Sp Lisbon	7	3	1	3	-1	10
9	Portimonense	6	3	0	3	-1	9
10	Arouca	7	2	3	2	-6	9
11	Guimaraes	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Rio Ave	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Boavista	6	2	0	4	-6	6
14	Famalicao	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Maritimo	8	1	2	5	-15	5
16	Santa Clara	7	1	1	5	-4	4
17	Gil Vicente	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Pacos Ferreira	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.