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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
2–1
Full-time
FC Emmen
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,8
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-2,2
This season — Eredivisie · 9/10 matches
Win Ø 11%
22%
0%
Points per game
0,9
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
44%
70%
Both score Ø 52%
33%
70%
Average goals
3,4
3,8
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,9
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
7 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 13. · FC Emmen 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 10 9 0 1 +37 27
2 Vitesse 10 8 1 1 +14 25
3 PSV Eindhoven 10 7 2 1 +15 23
4 Feyenoord 8 6 2 0 +12 20
5 Twente 10 5 3 2 +10 18
6 Heerenveen 10 5 3 2 +5 18
7 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 5 0 +8 17
8 Groningen 10 5 2 3 +0 17
9 Utrecht 8 2 4 2 -3 10
10 Zwolle 10 1 6 3 -5 9
11 Waalwijk 10 2 3 5 -8 9
12 VVV Venlo 10 2 3 5 -14 9
13 Sparta Rotterdam 9 2 2 5 -3 8
14 Willem II 10 2 2 6 -9 8
15 Heracles 10 2 2 6 -10 8
16 Den Haag 10 1 2 7 -18 5
17 For Sittard 10 0 3 7 -15 3
18 FC Emmen 10 0 3 7 -16 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam FC Emmen
5′
🟨 Sergio Peña
6′
🟨 Anco Jansen
1–0 D. Duarte
L. Thy
22′
Half-time 1–1
52′
M. Araujo 1–1
M. de Leeuw
2–1 A. Harroui
A. Auassar
58′
M. Engels 🔁
↦ B. Smeets
63′
67′
🔁 M. Kolar
↦ A. Jansen
67′
🔁 D. Avdijaj
↦ N. Laursen
D. Gravenberch 🔁
↦ L. Thy
74′
A. Meijers 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
74′
78′
🔁 L. Caciano
↦ S. Peña
79′
🟨 Hilal Ben Moussa
Danzell Gravenberch 🟨
80′
85′
🔁 N. Bakker
↦ R. van Rhijn
85′
🔁 L. Bernadou
↦ H. Ben Moussa
T. Beugelsdijk 🔁
↦ D. Duarte
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 M. Okoye G
3 B. Vriends D
5 M. Pinto D
4 M. Heylen D
2 D. Abels D
6 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
11 D. Duarte M
8 A. Harroui M
7 S. Mijnans M
9 L. Thy F
Bench (11)
21 M. Engels
19 D. Gravenberch
15 A. Meijers
14 T. Beugelsdijk
13 W. Burger
30 M. Fabrie
20 B. van Leer
17 R. Kharchouch
12 Jeffry Fortes
18 E. Emegha
16 L. Duarte

Coach: H. Fraser

FC Emmen

4-1-4-1
1 F. Wiedwald G
22 C. Cavlan D
34 R. van Rhijn D
5 M. Araujo D
23 G. Bijl D
8 M. de Leeuw F
20 M. Chacón M
21 H. Ben Moussa M
10 S. Peña M
6 A. Jansen M
11 N. Laursen M
Bench (10)
9 M. Kolar
17 D. Avdijaj
15 L. Caciano
4 N. Bakker
24 L. Bernadou
14 F. Görgülü
93 S. van der Lei
26 D. Telgenkamp
7 S. Tibbling
3 K. Veendorp

Coach: D. Lukkien

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
4,14
B
4,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,31
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.