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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Paris SG

U S S S T

3–0

Full-time

Nimes

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Nimes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

0,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 22/21 matches

Win Ø 42%

64%

19%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

59%

57%

Both score Ø 33%

27%

38%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

0,6

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

66% Possession 34%

14 Shots 19

6 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris SG 3. · Nimes 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	23	15	6	2	+25	51
2	Lyon	22	13	7	2	+26	46
3	Paris SG	22	14	3	5	+36	45
4	Monaco	22	13	3	6	+13	42
5	Rennes	22	10	7	5	+7	37
6	Metz	23	9	8	6	+7	35
7	Lens	22	10	4	8	+1	34
8	Angers	23	10	4	9	-5	34
9	Marseille	20	9	5	6	+5	32
10	Bordeaux	23	9	5	9	-1	32
11	Montpellier	23	8	5	10	-7	29
12	Reims	23	7	7	9	-1	28
13	Brest	23	8	3	12	-8	27
14	Nice	21	7	5	9	-6	26
15	Strasbourg	23	7	4	12	-4	25
16	St Etienne	22	5	7	10	-14	22
17	Lorient	22	5	4	13	-16	19
18	Nantes	22	3	9	10	-15	18
19	Dijon	22	2	9	11	-16	15
20	Nimes	21	4	3	14	-27	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	12	8	3	1	+14	27
2	Paris SG	11	8	1	2	+24	25
3	Lyon	11	7	3	1	+14	24
4	Monaco	11	7	3	1	+12	24
5	Metz	12	5	4	3	+4	19
6	Brest	11	6	1	4	+2	19
7	Rennes	12	5	3	4	+0	18
8	Bordeaux	12	5	3	4	+0	18
9	Angers	11	5	1	5	-2	16
10	Marseille	10	4	3	3	+3	15
11	Reims	11	4	3	4	-1	15
12	Lens	10	4	2	4	+0	14
13	Lorient	11	4	1	6	-4	13
14	Montpellier	12	4	1	7	-5	13
15	Strasbourg	12	3	3	6	-3	12
16	Nantes	11	2	6	3	-5	12
17	St Etienne	10	2	4	4	-7	10
18	Nice	11	2	2	7	-12	8
19	Dijon	11	0	6	5	-7	6
20	Nimes	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	11	7	3	1	+11	24
2	Lyon	11	6	4	1	+12	22
3	Paris SG	11	6	2	3	+12	20
4	Lens	12	6	2	4	+1	20
5	Rennes	10	5	4	1	+7	19
6	Nice	10	5	3	2	+6	18
7	Monaco	11	6	0	5	+1	18
8	Angers	12	5	3	4	-3	18
9	Marseille	10	5	2	3	+2	17
10	Metz	11	4	4	3	+3	16
11	Montpellier	11	4	4	3	-2	16
12	Bordeaux	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Reims	12	3	4	5	+0	13
14	Strasbourg	11	4	1	6	-1	13
15	St Etienne	12	3	3	6	-7	12
16	Nimes	11	3	2	6	-13	11
17	Dijon	11	2	3	6	-9	9
18	Brest	12	2	2	8	-10	8
19	Nantes	11	1	3	7	-10	6
20	Lorient	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.