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Serie A

Referee: A Prontera

Roma

T S S T T

2–0

Full-time

Spezia

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 35%

50%

19%

Points per game

1,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

56%

69%

Both score Ø 54%

44%

63%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 4

0 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 7

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 8. · Spezia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	17	12	4	1	+28	40
2	Milan	17	12	3	2	+17	39
3	Atalanta	17	11	4	2	+17	37
4	Napoli	17	11	3	3	+21	36
5	Fiorentina	17	10	0	7	+9	30
6	Juventus	17	8	4	5	+6	28
7	Empoli	17	8	2	7	-2	26
8	Roma	16	8	1	7	+5	25
9	Lazio	17	7	4	6	+1	25
10	Bologna	17	7	3	7	-5	24
11	Verona	17	6	5	6	+3	23
12	Sassuolo	17	6	5	6	+2	23
13	Torino	17	6	4	7	+4	22
14	Sampdoria	17	5	3	9	-8	18
15	Udinese	17	3	8	6	-6	17
16	Venezia	17	4	4	9	-14	16
17	Spezia	16	3	3	10	-19	12
18	Genoa	17	1	7	9	-16	10
19	Cagliari	17	1	7	9	-17	10
20	Salernitana	17	2	2	13	-26	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	8	6	2	0	+18	20
2	Napoli	9	6	1	2	+11	19
3	Milan	8	6	1	1	+9	19
4	Fiorentina	8	6	0	2	+11	18
5	Lazio	8	5	2	1	+10	17
6	Torino	9	5	2	2	+8	17
7	Verona	9	5	1	3	+6	16
8	Bologna	9	5	1	3	+4	16
9	Roma	8	5	1	2	+3	16
10	Juventus	8	4	1	3	+2	13
11	Atalanta	8	3	3	2	+6	12
12	Sassuolo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
13	Udinese	9	2	5	2	-1	11
14	Empoli	9	3	1	5	-6	10
15	Spezia	8	2	2	4	-2	8
16	Venezia	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Sampdoria	9	2	2	5	-7	8
18	Cagliari	9	1	4	4	-3	7
19	Salernitana	8	1	1	6	-11	4
20	Genoa	8	0	3	5	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	9	8	1	0	+11	25
2	Inter	9	6	2	1	+10	20
3	Milan	9	6	2	1	+8	20
4	Napoli	8	5	2	1	+10	17
5	Empoli	8	5	1	2	+4	16
6	Juventus	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Fiorentina	9	4	0	5	-2	12
8	Sassuolo	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	Sampdoria	8	3	1	4	-1	10
10	Roma	8	3	0	5	+2	9
11	Lazio	9	2	2	5	-9	8
12	Bologna	8	2	2	4	-9	8
13	Venezia	9	2	2	5	-11	8
14	Verona	8	1	4	3	-3	7
15	Genoa	9	1	4	4	-7	7
16	Udinese	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Torino	8	1	2	5	-4	5
18	Salernitana	9	1	1	7	-15	4
19	Spezia	8	1	1	6	-17	4
20	Cagliari	8	0	3	5	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.