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Serie A
Referee: M Piccinini
Lazio
S U S T T
4–4
Full-time
Udinese
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
43%
21%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
71%
43%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
3,6
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 2
The table before the match Lazio 9. · Udinese 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 15 11 3 1 +23 36
2 Milan 15 11 2 2 +15 35
3 Inter 15 10 4 1 +21 34
4 Atalanta 15 9 4 2 +15 31
5 Roma 15 8 1 6 +8 25
6 Fiorentina 15 8 0 7 +4 24
7 Juventus 15 7 3 5 +4 24
8 Bologna 15 7 3 5 -3 24
9 Lazio 14 6 3 5 +0 21
10 Verona 15 5 5 5 +3 20
11 Empoli 15 6 2 7 -5 20
12 Sassuolo 15 5 4 6 +1 19
13 Torino 15 5 3 7 +3 18
14 Udinese 14 3 6 5 -4 15
15 Sampdoria 15 4 3 8 -8 15
16 Venezia 15 4 3 8 -13 15
17 Spezia 15 3 2 10 -19 11
18 Genoa 15 1 7 7 -12 10
19 Cagliari 15 1 6 8 -13 9
20 Salernitana 15 2 2 11 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Udinese
17′
Beto 0–1
M. Jajalo
29′
🟨 Rodrigo Becão
32′
Beto 0–2
I. Success
1–2 C. Immobile
34′
Patric 🟨
37′
Ciro Immobile 🟨
40′
44′
N. Molina 1–3
Deulofeu
Half-time 2–3
2–3 Pedro
51′
53′
🟨 Nahuel Molina
3–3 S. Milinković-Savić
56′
Patric 🟨
57′
Patric 🟥
57′
Ş. Radu 🔁
↦ Felipe Anderson
59′
63′
🔁 T. Arslan
↦ M. Jajalo
63′
🔁 I. Pussetto
↦ I. Success
T. Bašić 🔁
↦ Luis Alberto
64′
69′
🟨 Nahuel Molina
69′
🟥 Nahuel Molina
75′
🔁 B. Soppy
↦ Deulofeu
75′
🔁 B. Nuytinck
↦ Rodrigo Becão
M. Zaccagni 🔁
↦ D. Cataldi
78′
Francesco Acerbi ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
79′
4–3 F. Acerbi
T. Bašić
79′
87′
🔁 F. Forestieri
↦ Samir
98′
🟨 Brandon Soppy
98′
🟨 Iyenoma Udogie
99′
T. Arslan 4–4
F. Forestieri
100′
🟥 Walace
Full-time 4–4

Line-ups

Lazio

4-3-3
25 Pepe Reina G
33 F. Acerbi D
23 E. Hysaj D
4 Patric D
10 Luis Alberto M
29 M. Lazzari D
32 D. Cataldi M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
9 Pedro F
17 C. Immobile F
7 Felipe Anderson F
Bench (12)
26 Ş. Radu
88 T. Bašić
20 M. Zaccagni
19 D. Vavro
31 M. Adamonis
94 V. Muriqi
8 J. Akpa Akpro
77 A. Marušić
27 Raul Moro
1 T. Strakosha
5 G. Escalante
6 Lucas Leiva

Coach: M. Sarri

Udinese

4-4-2
1 M. Silvestri G
3 Samir D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
16 N. Molina M
2 N. Pérez D
13 D. Udogie D
8 M. Jajalo M
11 Walace M
10 Deulofeu M
7 I. Success F
9 Beto F
Bench (12)
5 T. Arslan
23 I. Pussetto
93 B. Soppy
17 B. Nuytinck
45 F. Forestieri
30 I. Nestorovski
87 S. De Maio
20 D. Padelli
6 J. Makengo
65 M. Carnelos
4 M. Zeegelaar
24 L. Samardžić

Coach: L. Gotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,67
U ✓
3,96
B
5,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,08
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Piccinini · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.