Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lazio
Udinese
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–3
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 36 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 35 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +21 | 34 |
| 4 |
Atalanta
|
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 31 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | +8 | 25 |
| 6 |
Fiorentina
|
15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | +4 | 24 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 24 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 24 |
| 9 |
Lazio
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +0 | 21 |
| 10 |
Verona
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 |
Empoli
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 |
Sassuolo
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +1 | 19 |
| 13 |
Torino
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | +3 | 18 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 15 |
Sampdoria
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 |
Venezia
|
15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 15 |
| 17 |
Spezia
|
15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -19 | 11 |
| 18 |
Genoa
|
15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -12 | 10 |
| 19 |
Cagliari
|
15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -13 | 9 |
| 20 |
Salernitana
|
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -20 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Lazzari
D
D. Cataldi
M
Coach: M. Sarri
N. Molina
M
N. Pérez
D
D. Udogie
D
Beto
F
Coach: L. Gotti
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Napoli
Lazio
Lazio
Juventus
Lazio
Salernitana
Atalanta
Lazio
Lazio
Fiorentina
M Piccinini · 104 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.