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Serie A

Referee: M Guida

Roma

S U S S T

1–2

Full-time

Juventus

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Juventus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

2,2

2,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,2

This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 67%

56%

78%

Points per game

1,9

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

56%

67%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,9

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%

16 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

13 Corners 2

0 Offside 7

12 Free kicks against 13

6 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 5. · Juventus 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	19	14	4	1	+24	46
2	Juventus	18	14	3	1	+18	45
3	Lazio	18	13	3	2	+24	42
4	Atalanta	19	10	5	4	+23	35
5	Roma	18	10	5	3	+14	35
6	Cagliari	19	8	5	6	+4	29
7	Torino	19	8	3	8	-1	27
8	Verona	18	7	4	7	+0	25
9	Parma	18	7	4	7	-1	25
10	Milan	19	7	4	8	-6	25
11	Napoli	19	6	6	7	+2	24
12	Udinese	19	7	3	9	-11	24
13	Bologna	19	6	5	8	-3	23
14	Fiorentina	19	5	6	8	-6	21
15	Sassuolo	19	5	4	10	-4	19
16	Sampdoria	19	5	4	10	-9	19
17	Lecce	18	3	6	9	-14	15
18	Genoa	19	3	5	11	-18	14
19	Brescia	19	4	2	13	-19	14
20	Spal	19	3	3	13	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Lazio	9	7	2	0	+18	23
3	Inter	10	6	3	1	+11	21
4	Roma	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Udinese	10	5	2	3	+0	17
6	Atalanta	9	5	1	3	+14	16
7	Cagliari	10	5	1	4	+4	16
8	Verona	10	4	3	3	+1	15
9	Torino	10	4	2	4	-2	14
10	Parma	9	4	1	4	+3	13
11	Bologna	9	3	3	3	+0	12
12	Sampdoria	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Fiorentina	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Napoli	9	3	2	4	+0	11
15	Sassuolo	9	3	1	5	+1	10
16	Genoa	9	3	1	5	-2	10
17	Milan	9	2	4	3	-3	10
18	Spal	9	2	2	5	-5	8
19	Lecce	9	0	4	5	-7	4
20	Brescia	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Juventus	9	6	2	1	+5	20
3	Atalanta	10	5	4	1	+9	19
4	Lazio	9	6	1	2	+6	19
5	Roma	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	Milan	10	5	0	5	-3	15
7	Napoli	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	Torino	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	Cagliari	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Parma	9	3	3	3	-4	12
11	Bologna	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Lecce	9	3	2	4	-7	11
13	Verona	8	3	1	4	-1	10
14	Brescia	10	3	1	6	-9	10
15	Fiorentina	9	2	3	4	-3	9
16	Sassuolo	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Sampdoria	9	2	1	6	-8	7
18	Udinese	9	2	1	6	-11	7
19	Spal	10	1	1	8	-12	4
20	Genoa	10	0	4	6	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.