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Ligue 1

Referee: F Schneider

Dijon

T U T U U

1–0

Full-time

Lille

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 34%

21%

47%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

37%

47%

Both score Ø 45%

42%

47%

Average goals

1,9

2,4

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

15 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

2 Corners 7

11 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Dijon 17. · Lille 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	15	0	3	+33	45
2	Marseille	20	12	5	3	+9	41
3	Rennes	19	10	3	6	+6	33
4	Nantes	20	10	2	8	+1	32
5	Lille	19	9	4	6	+3	31
6	Montpellier	20	8	6	6	+8	30
7	Lyon	20	8	5	7	+12	29
8	Angers	20	8	5	7	-2	29
9	Monaco	18	8	4	6	+5	28
10	Reims	19	7	7	5	+4	28
11	Nice	20	8	4	8	+1	28
12	Strasbourg	20	8	3	9	-2	27
13	Bordeaux	20	7	5	8	+5	26
14	Brest	20	6	7	7	+0	25
15	St Etienne	20	7	4	9	-9	25
16	Metz	20	4	8	8	-10	20
17	Dijon	19	4	6	9	-8	18
18	Amiens	19	4	5	10	-16	17
19	Nimes	19	3	6	10	-17	15
20	Toulouse	20	3	3	14	-23	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	10	8	2	0	+13	26
2	Paris SG	9	8	0	1	+21	24
3	Marseille	10	7	2	1	+8	23
4	Montpellier	10	7	1	2	+11	22
5	Angers	11	6	3	2	+9	21
6	Nice	10	6	2	2	+8	20
7	Strasbourg	10	6	2	2	+6	20
8	Monaco	9	6	1	2	+10	19
9	Rennes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
10	Nantes	10	6	1	3	+3	19
11	Brest	10	4	5	1	+9	17
12	Reims	10	3	6	1	+4	15
13	Bordeaux	10	4	2	4	+7	14
14	Metz	10	3	4	3	+1	13
15	Dijon	9	3	4	2	+0	13
16	St Etienne	10	3	4	3	-2	13
17	Lyon	9	3	2	4	+5	11
18	Nimes	9	3	2	4	-1	11
19	Amiens	9	3	2	4	-4	11
20	Toulouse	10	3	0	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	0	2	+12	21
2	Lyon	11	5	3	3	+7	18
3	Marseille	10	5	3	2	+1	18
4	Rennes	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Reims	9	4	1	4	+0	13
6	Nantes	10	4	1	5	-2	13
7	Bordeaux	10	3	3	4	-2	12
8	St Etienne	10	4	0	6	-7	12
9	Monaco	9	2	3	4	-5	9
10	Montpellier	10	1	5	4	-3	8
11	Nice	10	2	2	6	-7	8
12	Brest	10	2	2	6	-9	8
13	Angers	9	2	2	5	-11	8
14	Strasbourg	10	2	1	7	-8	7
15	Metz	10	1	4	5	-11	7
16	Amiens	10	1	3	6	-12	6
17	Dijon	10	1	2	7	-8	5
18	Lille	9	1	2	6	-10	5
19	Nimes	10	0	4	6	-16	4
20	Toulouse	10	0	3	7	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.