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La Liga

Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero

Vallecano

T S T S S

0–7

Full-time

Ath Madrid

U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,56 xG 3,45

56% Possession 44%

12 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 4. · Ath Madrid 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+5	+1.3	9
2	Girona	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.8	7
3	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+3	+4.5	7
4	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.6	6
5	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.2	6
6	Osasuna	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.8	6
7	Valencia	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.9	6
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
9	Betis	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.0	4
10	Cadiz	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.6	4
11	Getafe	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.1	4
12	Sociedad	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.5	3
13	Villarreal	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.2	3
14	Alaves	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.8	3
15	Granada	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.6	3
16	Las Palmas	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.8	2
17	Mallorca	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.3	1
18	Celta	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.3	1
19	Almeria	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.6	1
20	Sevilla	3	0	0	3	-3	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cadiz	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.7	4
2	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
3	Girona	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.7	3
4	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
5	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.3	3
6	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
7	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
8	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.5	3
9	Granada	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.1	3
10	Sociedad	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
11	Las Palmas	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.8	2
12	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
13	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
14	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.4	0
15	Sevilla	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
16	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
17	Celta	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.1	0
18	Almeria	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+5	+1.3	9
2	Vallecano	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.6	6
3	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.5	6
4	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
5	Girona	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
7	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
8	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
9	Betis	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.3	3
10	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
11	Almeria	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
12	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
13	Sociedad	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
14	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.9	1
15	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
16	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
17	Granada	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
18	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.3	0
19	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.0	0
20	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.