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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Ath Bilbao
T S T S T
4–0
Full-time
Betis
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 41%
38%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
38%
56%
Both score Ø 36%
38%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%
14 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 16. · Betis 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 10 7 2 1 +17 23
2 Ath Madrid 8 6 2 0 +16 20
3 Villarreal 10 5 4 1 +4 19
4 Real Madrid 9 5 2 2 +5 17
5 Cadiz 10 4 2 4 -3 14
6 Granada 9 4 2 3 -4 14
7 Sevilla 8 4 1 3 +3 13
8 Valencia 10 3 3 4 +1 12
9 Getafe 9 3 3 3 -1 12
10 Elche 8 3 3 2 -1 12
11 Betis 9 4 0 5 -5 12
12 Barcelona 8 3 2 3 +6 11
13 Osasuna 9 3 2 4 -1 11
14 Alaves 10 2 4 4 -3 10
15 Eibar 10 2 4 4 -3 10
16 Ath Bilbao 8 3 0 5 -2 9
17 Valladolid 10 2 3 5 -5 9
18 Levante 9 1 4 4 -5 7
19 Huesca 10 0 7 3 -8 7
20 Celta 10 1 4 5 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Betis
0–1 Víctor Ruíz
own goal
9′
1–1 Capa
33′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Muniain
59′
61′
🔁 Loren Morón
↦ William Carvalho
61′
🔁 Borja Iglesias
↦ Tello
62′
🔁 A. Guardado
↦ A. Sanabria
3–1 Álex Berenguer
Yuri
68′
Oihan Sancet 🔁
↦ Muniain
70′
Jon Morcillo 🔁
↦ Álex Berenguer
71′
71′
🔁 D. Lainez
↦ Joaquín
Raúl García 🔁
↦ Williams
76′
84′
🔁 Aitor Ruibal
↦ Rodri
Lekue 🔁
↦ Asier Villalibre
88′
Balenziaga 🔁
↦ Yuri
88′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón G
17 Yuri D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
21 Capa D
5 Yeray D
6 Mikel Vesga M
27 Unai Vencedor M
10 Muniain M
9 Williams M
20 Asier Villalibre F
12 Álex Berenguer M
Bench (12)
16 Oihan Sancet
2 Jon Morcillo
22 Raúl García
15 Lekue
24 Balenziaga
28 Oier Zarraga
14 Dani García
26 Iñigo Vicente
25 Iago Herrerín
8 Unai López
3 Unai Núñez
11 Iñigo Córdoba

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Betis

4-1-4-1
25 C. Bravo G
12 Sidnei D
6 Víctor Ruíz D
15 Álex Moreno D
22 Emerson D
17 Joaquín M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Rodríguez M
11 Tello M
19 A. Sanabria F
28 Rodri M
Bench (12)
16 Loren Morón
9 Borja Iglesias
18 A. Guardado
20 D. Lainez
24 Aitor Ruibal
1 Joel Robles
2 Martín Montoya
7 Juanmi
13 Dani Martín
5 Marc Bartra
33 Juan Miranda
4 P. Akouokou

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,32
B
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.