Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Torino
Benevento
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | +54 | 91 |
| 2 |
Atalanta
|
37 | 23 | 9 | 5 | +45 | 78 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
37 | 24 | 4 | 9 | +45 | 76 |
| 4 |
Milan
|
37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | +31 | 76 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | +36 | 75 |
| 6 |
Lazio
|
37 | 21 | 5 | 11 | +8 | 68 |
| 7 |
Roma
|
37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | +10 | 61 |
| 8 |
Sassuolo
|
37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | +6 | 59 |
| 9 |
Sampdoria
|
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -2 | 52 |
| 10 |
Verona
|
37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Genoa
|
38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | -11 | 42 |
| 12 |
Bologna
|
37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |
Fiorentina
|
38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | -12 | 40 |
| 14 |
Udinese
|
38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | -16 | 40 |
| 15 |
Spezia
|
37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | -20 | 38 |
| 16 |
Cagliari
|
38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | -16 | 37 |
| 17 |
Torino
|
37 | 7 | 15 | 15 | -19 | 36 |
| 18 |
Benevento
|
37 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 |
Crotone
|
38 | 6 | 5 | 27 | -47 | 23 |
| 20 |
Parma
|
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -44 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Armando Izzo
D
Gleison Bremer
D
Mergim Vojvoda
M
Rolando Mandragora
M
Simone Verdi
M
Coach: D. Nicola
Kamil Glik
D
Federico Barba
D
Luca Caldirola
D
Coach: F. Inzaghi
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lazio
Torino
Spezia
Torino
Torino
Milan
Verona
Torino
Torino
Parma
Marco Di Bello · 77 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.