Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Heidenheim
Karlsruhe
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bochum
|
33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | +25 | 64 |
| 2 |
Holstein Kiel
|
33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | +23 | 62 |
| 3 |
Greuther Furth
|
33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | +24 | 61 |
| 4 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | +10 | 56 |
| 5 |
Hamburg
|
33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | +23 | 55 |
| 6 |
Heidenheim
|
33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | +1 | 51 |
| 7 |
Karlsruhe
|
33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | +6 | 49 |
| 8 |
Darmstadt
|
33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | +7 | 48 |
| 9 |
St Pauli
|
33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | -2 | 47 |
| 10 |
Paderborn
|
33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +8 | 46 |
| 11 |
Hannover
|
33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | +3 | 42 |
| 12 |
Nurnberg
|
33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 |
Erzgebirge Aue
|
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 |
Regensburg
|
33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | -16 | 35 |
| 15 |
Sandhausen
|
33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | -17 | 34 |
| 16 |
Osnabruck
|
33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | -22 | 33 |
| 17 |
Braunschweig
|
33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -25 | 31 |
| 18 |
Wurzburger Kickers
|
33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | -32 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Darmstadt
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Sandhausen
Nurnberg
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
Bochum
Regensburg
Heidenheim
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.