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Ligue 1
Referee: A Gautier
St Etienne
T T S S U
0–1
Full-time
Dijon
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
3,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-2,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 20%
32%
8%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
46%
46%
Both score Ø 45%
49%
41%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
19 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 11. · Dijon 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lille 37 23 11 3 +40 80
2 Paris SG 37 25 4 8 +56 79
3 Monaco 37 24 5 8 +34 77
4 Lyon 37 22 10 5 +39 76
5 Marseille 37 16 11 10 +7 59
6 Lens 37 15 11 11 +1 56
7 Rennes 37 15 10 12 +10 55
8 Montpellier 37 13 12 12 -3 51
9 Nice 37 14 7 16 -4 49
10 Metz 37 12 10 15 -4 46
11 St Etienne 37 12 10 15 -11 46
12 Angers 37 12 8 17 -17 44
13 Reims 37 9 15 13 -7 42
14 Bordeaux 37 12 6 19 -15 42
15 Strasbourg 37 11 8 18 -9 41
16 Brest 37 11 8 18 -14 41
17 Lorient 37 11 8 18 -18 41
18 Nantes 37 9 13 15 -7 40
19 Nimes 37 9 8 20 -29 35
20 Dijon 37 3 9 25 -49 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Dijon
39′
A. Kamara 0–1
M. Konate
Half-time 0–1
L. Douath 🟨
56′
61′
🔁 W. Younoussa
↦ E. Belhadji
L. Douath 🔁
↦ A. Moueffek
61′
A. Nordin 🔁
↦ Y. Lhery
61′
D. Bouanga 🔁
↦ M. Rivera
71′
76′
M. Konate
penalty missed
78′
🔁 F. Chafik
↦ A. T. Ngouyamsa Nounchil
Y. Neyou 🔁
↦ Z. Youssouf
78′
W. Khazri 🔁
↦ M. Saban
78′
89′
🔁 B. Celina
↦ C. E. Costes
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-4-2
40 Etienne Green G
8 Mahdi Camara D
35 Saïdou Sow D
5 Timothée Kolodziejczak D
11 Gabriel Silva D
18 Arnaud Nordin M
19 Yvan Neyou M
33 Lucas Gourna-Douath M
20 Denis Bouanga M
10 Wahbi Khazri F
17 Adil Aouchiche F
Bench (9)
1 Stefan Bajić
13 Miguel Trauco
6 Pape Abou Cissé
37 Mathys Saban
7 Ryad Boudebouz
34 Aimen Moueffek
28 Zaydou Youssouf
31 Yanis Lhéry
32 Maxence Rivera

Coach: C. Puel

Dijon

4-4-2
16 Saturnin Allagbe G
26 Fouad Chafik D
25 Bruno Ecuele Manga D
5 Senou Coulibaly D
12 Arthur Zagre D
18 Wilitty Younoussa M
14 Jordan Marié M
9 Bersant Celina M
27 Aboubakar Kamara M
32 Jacques Siwe F
11 Moussa Konaté F
Bench (5)
1 Anthony Racioppi
3 Ngonda Muzinga
19 Ahmad Toure Ngouyamsa
31 Charles Costes
33 Erwan Belhadji

Coach: D. Linarès

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,30
U
5,62
B ✓
9,79
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.