La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Granada
Getafe
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | +32 | 58 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +30 | 56 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +12 | 50 |
| 4 |
Sociedad
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +12 | 46 |
| 5 |
Getafe
|
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +12 | 46 |
| 6 |
Ath Madrid
|
27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | +10 | 45 |
| 7 |
Valencia
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 |
Villarreal
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +6 | 38 |
| 9 |
Granada
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +1 | 38 |
| 10 |
Ath Bilbao
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | +6 | 37 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 |
Betis
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -7 | 33 |
| 13 |
Levante
|
27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 |
Alaves
|
27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -8 | 32 |
| 15 |
Valladolid
|
27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | -10 | 29 |
| 16 |
Eibar
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -14 | 27 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | -12 | 26 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -16 | 25 |
| 19 |
Leganes
|
27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -18 | 23 |
| 20 |
Espanol
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -23 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Levante
Granada
Granada
Celta
Osasuna
Granada
Granada
Valladolid
Ath Madrid
Granada
David Medié · 37 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.