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Super League
Referee: Nico Gianforte
Luzern
S S U S S
1–3
Full-time
Thun
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Thun
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,50 xG 1,63
54% Possession 46%
22 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 6
13 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Feb -26 Thun – Luzern 2–1 6. Dec -25 Thun – Luzern 4–1 9. Aug -25 Luzern – Thun 1–2 5. Jul -20 Luzern – Thun 3–0 22. Feb -20 Thun – Luzern 1–1

Match report

Luzern Thun
1–0 S. Knezevic ⚽
O. Kabwit
2′
8′
⚽ N. Maier 1–1
M. Gutbub
Half-time 1–1
Pius Dorn 🟨
50′
51′
⚽ N. Burgy 1–2
60′
🔁 M. Heule
↦ A. Balaruban
60′
🔁 J. Roth
↦ N. Zoukit
61′
🔁 V. Matoshi
↦ N. Maier
A. Oehlers 🔁
↦ L. Silva
64′
72′
🟨 Nicolas Bürgy
A. Ciganiks 🔁
↦ R. Dantas Fernandes
74′
M. Zimmermann 🔁
↦ L. Villiger
74′
74′
🔁 N. Reichmuth
↦ D. Derbaci
80′
🔁 B. Labeau
↦ L. Stewart
Andrejs Cigaņiks 🟨
83′
84′
⚽ N. Burgy 1–3
L. Dahler
S. Meyer 🔁
↦ T. Owusu
85′
S. Wyss 🔁
↦ M. Di Giusto
85′
Mio Zimmermann 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Luzern

4-4-2
1 S. Simoni G
20 P. Dorn D
5 S. Knezevic D
21 L. Luthi D
22 R. Dantas Fernandes D
10 L. Silva M
24 T. Owusu M
6 L. Bertone M
11 M. Di Giusto M
16 O. Kabwit F
27 L. Villiger F
Bench (9)
63 R. Radtke
14 A. Ciganiks
7 A. Oehlers
28 R. Dantas Fernandes
71 S. Meyer
3 J. Lofgren
13 B. H. Freimann
17 S. Wyss
80 M. Zimmermann

Coach: Jorg Portmann

Thun

4-2-2-2
1 N. Steffen G
37 L. Dahler D
5 N. Burgy D
19 J. Bamert D
17 A. Balaruban D
13 N. Zoukit M
8 F. Saiz
30 N. Maier M
21 D. Derbaci M
33 M. Gutbub F
11 L. Stewart F
Bench (9)
25 T. Spycher
96 B. Labeau
27 M. Heule
78 V. Matoshi
80 S. Lengen
54 L. Passavant
16 J. Roth
70 N. Reichmuth
47 F. Fehr

Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.