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Champions League
Referee: Bulat Sariyev
Thun
T T T T U
1–1
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
16 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
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U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.