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Superligaen
Aalborg
S S T S U
2–3
Full-time
Aarhus
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Superligaen · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 48%
44%
52%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 52%
44%
60%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalborg 6. · Aarhus 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 25 20 2 3 +27 62
2 FC Copenhagen 25 17 2 6 +17 53
3 Aarhus 25 13 5 7 +13 44
4 Brondby 25 13 3 9 +11 42
5 Nordsjaelland 25 12 5 8 +14 41
6 Aalborg 25 11 5 9 +12 38
7 Randers FC 25 10 5 10 +5 35
8 Lyngby 25 9 4 12 -14 31
9 Horsens 25 9 4 12 -20 31
10 Odense 25 8 6 11 +2 30
11 Sonderjyske 25 6 8 11 -13 26
12 Hobro 25 3 13 9 -10 22
13 Esbjerg 25 4 6 15 -20 18
14 Silkeborg 25 3 6 16 -24 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Sep -19 Aarhus – Aalborg 3–0

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.