Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Hobro
Lyngby
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Midtjylland
|
25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | +27 | 62 |
| 2 |
FC Copenhagen
|
25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | +17 | 53 |
| 3 |
Aarhus
|
25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +13 | 44 |
| 4 |
Brondby
|
25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | +11 | 42 |
| 5 |
Nordsjaelland
|
25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +14 | 41 |
| 6 |
Aalborg
|
25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | +12 | 38 |
| 7 |
Randers FC
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | +5 | 35 |
| 8 |
Lyngby
|
25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | -14 | 31 |
| 9 |
Horsens
|
25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | -20 | 31 |
| 10 |
Odense
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 30 |
| 11 |
Sonderjyske
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 |
Hobro
|
25 | 3 | 13 | 9 | -10 | 22 |
| 13 |
Esbjerg
|
25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -20 | 18 |
| 14 |
Silkeborg
|
25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -24 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Randers FC
Hobro
Hobro
Esbjerg
Aarhus
Hobro
Hobro
Midtjylland
Sonderjyske
Hobro
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.