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Serie B

Referee: K Bonacina

Palermo

U S S S U

2–3

Full-time

Ternana

T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Ternana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,7

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 37%

50%

23%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

62%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

58%

62%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

10 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 4. · Ternana 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	26	16	7	3	+23	55
2	Venezia	26	14	6	6	+15	48
3	Cremonese	26	13	8	5	+16	47
4	Palermo	26	13	7	6	+16	46
5	Como	26	13	7	6	+5	46
6	Catanzaro	26	12	6	8	+5	42
7	Cittadella	26	10	6	10	-2	36
8	Brescia	27	8	11	8	+1	35
9	Modena	26	8	11	7	-3	35
10	Bari	26	7	12	7	-3	33
11	Sampdoria	26	9	6	11	-6	33
12	Cosenza	26	8	8	10	+1	32
13	Sudtirol	27	8	8	11	-3	32
14	Reggiana	27	6	14	7	-3	32
15	Pisa	26	7	9	10	-2	30
16	Ascoli	27	6	9	12	-6	27
17	Ternana	26	6	8	12	-4	26
18	Spezia	26	5	11	10	-13	26
19	FeralpiSalo	26	5	6	15	-15	21
20	Lecco	26	5	6	15	-22	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	13	8	5	0	+12	29
2	Venezia	13	8	3	2	+9	27
3	Palermo	13	8	1	4	+11	25
4	Como	13	7	4	2	+6	25
5	Catanzaro	13	7	3	3	+7	24
6	Cremonese	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Cittadella	14	7	2	5	+4	23
8	Bari	13	5	6	2	+2	21
9	Modena	13	5	4	4	+1	19
10	Brescia	13	4	5	4	+0	17
11	Cosenza	13	4	4	5	+4	16
12	Ternana	14	3	6	5	+1	15
13	Sudtirol	13	4	3	6	-2	15
14	Sampdoria	13	4	3	6	-3	15
15	Reggiana	14	2	9	3	-3	15
16	Ascoli	13	3	5	5	+0	14
17	Pisa	13	3	5	5	-1	14
18	Spezia	12	2	6	4	-1	12
19	FeralpiSalo	13	3	3	7	-2	12
20	Lecco	12	3	1	8	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	13	8	2	3	+11	26
2	Cremonese	12	7	3	2	+8	24
3	Venezia	13	6	3	4	+6	21
4	Palermo	13	5	6	2	+5	21
5	Como	13	6	3	4	-1	21
6	Brescia	14	4	6	4	+1	18
7	Catanzaro	13	5	3	5	-2	18
8	Sampdoria	13	5	3	5	-3	18
9	Reggiana	13	4	5	4	+0	17
10	Sudtirol	14	4	5	5	-1	17
11	Pisa	13	4	4	5	-1	16
12	Cosenza	13	4	4	5	-3	16
13	Modena	13	3	7	3	-4	16
14	Spezia	14	3	5	6	-12	14
15	Ascoli	14	3	4	7	-6	13
16	Cittadella	12	3	4	5	-6	13
17	Bari	13	2	6	5	-5	12
18	Ternana	12	3	2	7	-5	11
19	Lecco	14	2	5	7	-13	11
20	FeralpiSalo	13	2	3	8	-13	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.