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Süper Lig

Referee: O Ergun

Besiktas

U S U U S

1–0

Full-time

Kayserispor

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Kayserispor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 30%

47%

12%

Points per game

1,7

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

59%

47%

Both score Ø 65%

65%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,87 xG 0,90

69% Possession 31%

31 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 3

9 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Besiktas 5. · Kayserispor 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	18	13	4	1	+27	+19.6	43
2	Fenerbahce	18	12	6	0	+26	+23.1	42
3	Trabzonspor	18	11	5	2	+14	+1.5	38
4	Goztep	17	9	5	3	+12	+3.4	32
5	Besiktas	17	8	5	4	+8	+16.1	29
6	Buyuksehyr	18	7	5	6	+10	+0.6	26
7	Samsunspor	18	6	8	4	+2	+7.2	26
8	Gaziantep	18	6	6	6	-6	-2.1	24
9	Kocaelispor	18	6	5	7	-3	+0.1	23
10	Alanyaspor	18	4	9	5	+0	-5.1	21
11	Genclerbirligi	18	5	4	9	-3	-8.7	19
12	Rizespor	17	4	6	7	-4	+0.8	18
13	Konyaspor	18	4	6	8	-8	-4.5	18
14	Kasimpasa	18	3	7	8	-10	-9.9	16
15	Antalyaspor	18	4	4	10	-15	-11.1	16
16	Kayserispor	17	2	9	6	-17	-9.2	15
17	Eyüpspor	18	3	5	10	-14	-8.9	14
18	Karagumruk	18	2	3	13	-19	-13.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	7	3	0	+14	+12.1	24
2	Fenerbahce	8	6	2	0	+12	+15.5	20
3	Trabzonspor	9	5	4	0	+10	+6.1	19
4	Kocaelispor	10	5	3	2	+4	+6.0	18
5	Goztep	8	4	3	1	+6	+3.0	15
6	Besiktas	8	4	2	2	+3	+8.4	14
7	Genclerbirligi	9	4	2	3	+2	+2.3	14
8	Buyuksehyr	9	3	4	2	+4	+0.8	13
9	Samsunspor	9	3	4	2	+0	+6.4	13
10	Alanyaspor	9	3	3	3	+2	-2.1	12
11	Gaziantep	9	3	2	4	-5	+3.0	11
12	Konyaspor	10	2	4	4	-2	+1.0	10
13	Rizespor	9	3	1	5	-4	+5.4	10
14	Eyüpspor	9	2	3	4	-6	-1.3	9
15	Kayserispor	8	1	3	4	-12	-4.0	6
16	Kasimpasa	9	0	5	4	-6	-1.1	5
17	Karagumruk	9	1	2	6	-8	-3.9	5
18	Antalyaspor	8	1	1	6	-13	-3.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	10	6	4	0	+14	+7.6	22
2	Galatasaray	8	6	1	1	+13	+7.4	19
3	Trabzonspor	9	6	1	2	+4	-4.6	19
4	Goztep	9	5	2	2	+6	+0.4	17
5	Besiktas	9	4	3	2	+5	+7.7	15
6	Buyuksehyr	9	4	1	4	+6	-0.1	13
7	Samsunspor	9	3	4	2	+2	+0.8	13
8	Gaziantep	9	3	4	2	-1	-5.1	13
9	Antalyaspor	10	3	3	4	-2	-7.8	12
10	Kasimpasa	9	3	2	4	-4	-8.8	11
11	Alanyaspor	9	1	6	2	-2	-3.0	9
12	Kayserispor	9	1	6	2	-5	-5.3	9
13	Rizespor	8	1	5	2	+0	-4.6	8
14	Konyaspor	8	2	2	4	-6	-5.4	8
15	Genclerbirligi	9	1	2	6	-5	-11.0	5
16	Kocaelispor	8	1	2	5	-7	-5.9	5
17	Eyüpspor	9	1	2	6	-8	-7.6	5
18	Karagumruk	9	1	1	7	-11	-9.1	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.