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Süper Lig
Referee: Ö Turtay
İstanbulspor
T U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Samsunspor
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

İstanbulspor Samsunspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 23%
14%
32%
Points per game
0,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
59%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,86 xG 0,62
54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match İstanbulspor 20. · Samsunspor 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 23 19 3 1 +43 +42.9 60
2 Galatasaray 22 18 3 1 +33 +28.8 57
3 Trabzonspor 22 11 4 7 +8 -2.2 37
4 Besiktas 23 11 3 9 +2 +9.8 36
5 Rizespor 23 10 5 8 -6 -4.4 35
6 Antalyaspor 23 8 10 5 +6 +3.2 34
7 Ad. Demirspor 23 7 10 6 +7 -1.4 31
8 Buyuksehyr 23 8 6 9 +1 -3.7 30
9 Kayserispor 23 8 6 9 -5 -6.9 30
10 Kasimpasa 22 8 5 9 -5 -8.5 29
11 Sivasspor 23 7 8 8 -7 -5.1 29
12 Ankaragücü 23 6 10 7 +2 -2.7 28
13 Alanyaspor 23 6 9 8 -7 +3.9 27
14 Hatayspor 23 5 10 8 -3 -0.3 25
15 Samsunspor 22 7 4 11 -6 +2.8 25
16 Karagumruk 23 6 6 11 +1 -10.3 24
17 Gaziantep 22 6 5 11 -8 -8.2 23
18 Pendikspor 23 5 8 10 -17 -8.1 23
19 Konyaspor 23 4 9 10 -14 -12.9 21
20 İstanbulspor 22 3 4 15 -25 -16.5 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

İstanbulspor Samsunspor
Emir Kaan Gültekin 🟨
13′
25′
🟨 Alim Öztürk
Half-time 1–0
1–0 E. Gültekin
D. Sambissa
54′
Modestas Vorobjovas 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 Z. Yavru
↦ H. Tan
62′
🔁 M. Mouandilmadji
↦ T. Antalyalı
72′
E. Kılınç 1–1
Ľ. Šatka
V. Temel 🔁
↦ D. Sambissa
82′
D. Traoré 🔁
↦ E. Rroca
83′
İ. Topatar 🔁
↦ F. Loshaj
87′
Simon Deli 🟨
88′
R. Coly 🔁
↦ A. Yaşar
88′
88′
🔁 O. Çelik
↦ F. Tait
88′
🔁 R. van Drongelen
↦ M. Bola
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

İstanbulspor

3-5-2
59 A. Arda G
23 O. Erdoğan D
4 M. Yeşil D
14 S. Deli D
7 D. Sambissa M
24 M. Sarıkaya M
6 M. Vorobjovas M
34 F. Loshaj M
66 A. Yaşar M
19 E. Gültekin F
10 E. Rroca F
Bench (10)
8 V. Temel
88 D. Traoré
52 İ. Topatar
13 R. Coly
99 Jackson
11 K. Köylü
26 M. Serbest
41 T. Şamdanlı
5 E. Öztürk
20 Ö. Şahan

Coach: O. Korkmaz

Samsunspor

4-2-3-1
1 O. Kocuk G
72 H. Tan D
37 Ľ. Šatka D
5 A. Öztürk D
16 M. Bola D
48 T. Antalyalı M
6 Y. Aït Bennasser M
21 C. Holse M
13 F. Tait M
11 E. Kılınç M
99 E. Kara F
Bench (10)
18 Z. Yavru
9 M. Mouandilmadji
88 O. Çelik
4 R. van Drongelen
22 Y. Çift
53 B. Deniz
23 M. Gümüşkaya
8 S. Aydoğdu
28 S. Gönül
29 J. Szumski

Coach: M. Gisdol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,31
U ✓
3,47
B
2,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.