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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Costa

Aves

T T T T T

1–2

Full-time

Gil Vicente

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aves Gil Vicente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,7

Scored

0,7

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 14%

10%

18%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

70%

27%

Both score Ø 53%

70%

36%

Average goals

3,5

1,6

Scored

1,1

0,6

Conceded

2,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

62% Possession 38%

5 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 26

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aves 19. · Gil Vicente 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	11	10	0	1	+21	30
2	Porto	11	9	1	1	+20	28
3	Famalicao	10	7	2	1	+7	23
4	Sp Lisbon	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Guimaraes	10	4	4	2	+7	16
6	Tondela	11	4	4	3	+1	16
7	Boavista	11	3	6	2	+2	15
8	Santa Clara	11	3	5	3	-2	14
9	Rio Ave	10	3	3	4	+1	12
10	Setubal	10	2	6	2	-3	12
11	Vitoria Setubal	10	2	6	2	-3	12
12	Sp Braga	11	3	3	5	-4	12
13	Moreirense	11	2	5	4	-2	11
14	Gil Vicente	11	2	5	4	-4	11
15	Maritimo	11	2	5	4	-5	11
16	Belenenses	10	3	2	5	-8	11
17	Portimonense	11	1	5	5	-8	8
18	Pacos Ferreira	10	1	2	7	-11	5
19	Aves	10	1	0	9	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	6	0	0	+17	18
2	Benfica	7	6	0	1	+13	18
3	Famalicao	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Guimaraes	5	3	2	0	+10	11
5	Gil Vicente	7	2	5	0	+3	11
6	Setubal	6	2	4	0	+2	10
7	Vitoria Setubal	6	2	4	0	+2	10
8	Boavista	5	2	3	0	+3	9
9	Santa Clara	6	2	3	1	+1	9
10	Moreirense	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Sp Braga	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Sp Lisbon	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Belenenses	5	2	0	3	-3	6
14	Rio Ave	5	1	2	2	+1	5
15	Maritimo	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Pacos Ferreira	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Tondela	5	1	1	3	-3	4
18	Aves	4	1	0	3	-1	3
19	Portimonense	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Tondela	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Sp Lisbon	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Famalicao	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Porto	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Rio Ave	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Boavista	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Maritimo	6	1	3	2	-3	6
9	Portimonense	6	1	3	2	-4	6
10	Guimaraes	5	1	2	2	-3	5
11	Santa Clara	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Sp Braga	6	1	1	4	-4	4
14	Moreirense	6	0	3	3	-5	3
15	Setubal	4	0	2	2	-5	2
16	Vitoria Setubal	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	1	4	-9	1
18	Gil Vicente	4	0	0	4	-7	0
19	Aves	6	0	0	6	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.