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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: H Nervik
Moss
T T U T S
2–2
Full-time
Sogndal
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
4,7
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
28%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
89%
78%
Both score Ø 72%
83%
61%
Average goals
3,9
4,2
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
2,3
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 13. · Sogndal 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stabaek 18 12 3 3 +29 39
2 Kongsvinger 18 12 3 3 +20 39
3 Haugesund 18 12 1 5 +21 37
4 Stromsgodset 18 10 5 3 +21 35
5 hodd 18 9 3 6 +0 30
6 Odd 18 8 5 5 +7 29
7 Bryne 19 9 2 8 -1 29
8 Egersund 18 8 2 8 -1 26
9 Ranheim 18 7 2 9 -1 23
10 Sogndal 18 6 3 9 -11 21
11 Lyn 18 6 2 10 -9 20
12 Sandnes ULF 19 6 2 11 -9 20
13 Moss 18 5 3 10 -12 18
14 Strommen 19 5 3 11 -18 18
15 Asane 18 5 2 11 -13 17
16 Raufoss 19 5 1 13 -23 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Sogndal
1–0 W. Kvale
M. Cassidy
22′
36′
🟨 J. Haruna
44′
O. Helen 1–1
Half-time 2–1
2–1 N. Semmen
L. Overgaard
46′
62′
🔁 M. Oren
↦ R. Onyango
62′
🔁 K. Arierhi
↦ J. Haruna
62′
🔁 E. Flo
↦ E. L. Hillestad
J. S. Selnaes 🔁
↦ L. Overgaard
73′
K. Sorensen 🔁
↦ N. Semmen
73′
K. Harrison 🔁
↦ O. Aga
84′
J. Harveg 🔁
↦ P. Andersen
84′
84′
E. Hovland 2–2
86′
🟨 K. Arierhi
R. Hermanstad 🔁
↦ H. Vold Krohg
93′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. Eriksen
3 K. Strande
17 P. Andersen
5 O. Jebali
2 M. Cassidy
8 H. Vold Krohg
14 J. Musbaudeen
19 L. Overgaard
16 W. Kvale
20 N. Semmen
9 O. Aga
Bench (9)
12 M. Rylandsholm
4 K. Harrison
22 J. Ogbole
23 R. Hermanstad
26 E. Chidi
27 J. S. Selnaes
29 K. Sorensen
31 J. Harveg
35 M. Christiansen

Coach: Geir Bakke

Sogndal

1 L. Jendal
4 E. Hovland
14 J. Haruna
35 E. L. Hillestad
88 R. Onyango
5 S. A. Granheim
16 L. Vapne
23 A. Barkarson
19 T. Pippola
15 O. Helen
10 K. Skaanes
Bench (6)
38 A. Sundal
31 D. Kongelf
32 M. Oren
36 M. Aroy
9 K. Arierhi
39 E. Flo

Coach: Eirik Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.