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Süper Lig
Referee: Alper Ulusoy
Alanyaspor
T S U U T
2–3
Full-time
Erzurumspor
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Erzurumspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 38/39 matches
Win Ø 33%
42%
23%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
47%
56%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
62%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
6 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 7. · Erzurumspor 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 38 25 6 7 +45 81
2 Fenerbahce 38 24 7 7 +31 79
3 Galatasaray 38 24 6 8 +39 78
4 Trabzonspor 39 18 14 7 +12 68
5 Hatayspor 39 17 10 12 +10 61
6 Sivasspor 38 14 17 7 +9 59
7 Alanyaspor 38 16 9 13 +13 57
8 Gaziantep 38 14 13 11 +8 55
9 Karagumruk 38 14 12 12 +7 54
10 Goztep 38 13 12 13 +3 51
11 Konyaspor 39 12 13 14 +1 49
12 Yeni Malatyaspor 39 10 15 14 -2 45
13 Rizespor 38 11 12 15 -15 45
14 Buyuksehyr 38 11 11 16 -14 44
15 Kasimpasa 38 11 10 17 -11 43
16 Antalyaspor 39 9 16 14 -14 43
17 Kayserispor 38 9 13 16 -16 40
18 Ankaragücü 38 10 8 20 -16 38
19 Erzurumspor 39 9 10 20 -25 37
20 Genclerbirligi 38 9 8 21 -33 35
21 Denizlispor 38 6 10 22 -32 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Erzurumspor
Mustafa Pektemek 🟨
19′
1–0 E. Karaca
30′
35′
🔁 C. Alkılıç
↦ E. Başsan
2–0 E. Karaca
41′
45′
ℹ️ Elbasan Rashani
VAR: Penalty confirmed
45′
G. Tzavellas 3–0
own goal
Half-time 3–0
Steven Caulker 🟨
59′
A. Bareiro 🔁
↦ M. Pektemek
69′
69′
🔁 O. Karakullukçu
↦ Ricardo Gomes
69′
🔁 Ö. Sert
↦ O. Çelik
73′
E. Rashani 3–1
C. Alkılıç
D. Kądzior 🔁
↦ E. Siopis
78′
François Moubandje 🟨
79′
Georgios Tzavellas 🟨
80′
80′
🟨 Adolphe Teikeu
84′
C. Alkılıç 3–2
Ö. Sert
C. Gülselam 🔁
↦ E. Bekiroglu
87′
T. Bingöl 🔁
↦ Juanfran
87′
91′
🔁 M. Uçar
↦ C. Alkılıç
91′
🔁 Z. Bergdich
↦ E. Rashani
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-1-4-1
30 S. Kırıntılı G
31 G. Tzavellas D
44 S. Caulker D
21 F. Moubandje D
24 Juanfran D
7 E. Karaca M
26 E. Siopis M
23 E. Bekiroglu M
22 B. Kutlu M
19 M. Pektemek F
91 Davidson M
Bench (7)
9 A. Bareiro
92 D. Kądzior
6 C. Gülselam
75 T. Bingöl
27 U. Güneş
5 F. Aksoy
28 Marafona

Coach: S. Tokatlı

Erzurumspor

4-2-3-1
29 J. Szumski G
30 A. Teikeu D
2 B. Butko D
22 L. Schwechlen D
23 G. Kardeş D
4 G. Obertan M
15 E. Rashani M
17 E. Başsan M
16 R. Çağıran M
88 O. Çelik M
91 Ricardo Gomes F
Bench (9)
99 C. Alkılıç
61 O. Karakullukçu
55 Ö. Sert
77 M. Uçar
21 Z. Bergdich
62 Y. Koç
75 G. Yılmaz
66 F. Şaşi
1 G. Bakırbaş

Coach: U. Bayarslan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,57
U
4,23
B ✓
5,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,33
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alper Ulusoy · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.