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Süper Lig
Referee: Suat Arslanboga
1–1
Full-time
Erzurumspor
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genclerbirligi Erzurumspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 30/31 matches
Win Ø 23%
27%
19%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
57%
55%
Both score Ø 59%
60%
58%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

27% Possession 73%
6 Shots 23
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genclerbirligi 19. · Erzurumspor 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 30 20 4 6 +32 64
2 Fenerbahce 31 19 5 7 +24 62
3 Galatasaray 31 19 4 8 +31 61
4 Trabzonspor 32 16 9 7 +9 57
5 Alanyaspor 31 14 7 10 +18 49
6 Hatayspor 31 14 7 10 +14 49
7 Karagumruk 32 13 9 10 +9 48
8 Gaziantep 30 12 11 7 +10 47
9 Goztep 32 11 10 11 +4 43
10 Sivasspor 30 9 14 7 +2 41
11 Konyaspor 31 10 10 11 +1 40
12 Antalyaspor 31 8 15 8 -8 39
13 Rizespor 31 8 11 12 -13 35
14 Kasimpasa 31 9 7 15 -13 34
15 Ankaragücü 31 9 6 16 -13 33
16 Buyuksehyr 31 8 9 14 -14 33
17 Kayserispor 31 8 9 14 -16 33
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 30 7 11 12 -6 32
19 Genclerbirligi 30 8 6 16 -24 30
20 Erzurumspor 31 6 9 16 -22 27
21 Denizlispor 30 6 7 17 -25 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genclerbirligi Erzurumspor
-5′
🟨 Zakarya Bergdich
Diego Ângelo 🔁
↦ M. Akbaş
19′
1–0 Sandro Lima
Candeias
29′
Mattias Johansson 🟨
43′
45′
ℹ️ Cenk Ahmet Alkılıç
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 1–0
L. Mugni 🔁
↦ M. Yıldırım
67′
F. Ayité 🔁
↦ S. Yılmaz
67′
Piris da Motta 🟨
76′
78′
🔁 O. Karakullukçu
↦ E. Başsan
78′
🔁 Ricardo Gomes
↦ M. El Kabir
B. Stancu 🔁
↦ Sandro Lima
80′
P. Polomat 🔁
↦ Candeias
80′
84′
🔁 G. Obertan
↦ J. Omolo
90′
🟨 Mehmet Murat Uçar
90′
🟨 Oltan Karakullukçu
90′
🔁 B. Darri
↦ C. Alkılıç
93′
M. da Costa 1–1
O. Karakullukçu
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genclerbirligi

4-2-3-1
1 K. Nordfeldt G
2 M. Johansson D
12 M. Akbaş D
3 H. Pehlivan D
4 A. Kızıldağ D
88 M. Yıldırım M
21 Candeias M
10 S. Yılmaz M
23 R. Piris Da Motta M
8 S. Dikmen M
91 Sandro Lima F
Bench (10)
6 Diego Ângelo
30 L. Mugni
33 F. Ayité
9 B. Stancu
39 P. Polomat
7 D. Furman
44 Ü. Adıyaman
27 Ö. Artan
13 G. Sio
11 S. Spiridonović

Coach: Ö. Bizati

Erzurumspor

4-2-3-1
29 J. Szumski G
27 M. da Costa D
99 C. Alkılıç M
22 L. Schwechlen D
5 H. Hatipoğlu D
8 J. Omolo M
92 A. Chahechouhe M
17 E. Başsan M
13 P. Boumal M
77 M. Uçar D
14 M. El Kabir F
Bench (10)
61 O. Karakullukçu
91 Ricardo Gomes
4 G. Obertan
70 B. Darri
88 O. Çelik
2 B. Butko
16 R. Çağıran
1 G. Bakırbaş
23 G. Kardeş
21 Z. Bergdich

Coach: Y. Vural

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,81
U ✓
3,32
B
2,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Suat Arslanboga · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.