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Puchar Polski
0–1
Full-time
Widzew Lodz
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Pogon Szczecin 22. · Widzew Lodz 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Polonia Bytom 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Gornik Zabrze 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Chojniczanka Chojnice 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Avia Świdnik 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 GKS Katowice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Hutnik Kraków 3 2 0 1 +3 6
9 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Slask Wroclaw 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Wisla 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Lechia Gdansk 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 Jastrzębie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
14 Widzew Lodz 2 1 1 0 +1 4
15 Olimpia Grudziądz 3 1 1 1 +1 4
16 Świt Skolwin 3 1 1 1 +0 4
17 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
19 Cracovia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
20 Legnica 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Pogon Szczecin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Lech Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Arka Gdynia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Odra Opole 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Gryf Słupsk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Puszcza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 -2 3
33 Wikielec 2 1 0 1 -2 3
34 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 2 1 0 1 -5 3
35 Nieciecza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Flota Świnoujście 2 0 1 1 -3 1
39 Legia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Stal Mielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Małapanew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Motor Lublin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Polonia Warszawa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Odra Bytom Odrzański 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Łomża 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pogon Szczecin Widzew Lodz
35′
A. Zeqiri 0–1
A. Baena Perez
L. Koutris 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
P. Mukairu 🔁
↦ R. Molnar
46′
M. Juwara 🔁
↦ M. Ndiaye
46′
62′
🟨 R. Visus
J. Pozo 🔁
↦ L. Wahlqvist
78′
P. Paryzek 🔁
↦ A. Przyborek
82′
84′
🔁 M. Fornalczyk
↦ A. Zeqiri
84′
🔁 M. Hanousek
↦ S. Czyz
D. Keramitsis ℹ️
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
91′
93′
🔁 F. Alvarez
↦ A. Baena Perez
93′
🔁 M. Krajewski
↦ B. Pawlowski
94′
🟨 M. Krajewski
102′
🔁 A. Klukowski
↦ S. Bergier
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Pogon Szczecin

77 V. Cojocaru
28 L. Wahlqvist
22 D. Loncar
13 D. Keramitsis
32 L. Koutris
10 A. Przyborek
8 F. Ulvestad
19 M. Ndiaye
90 S. Greenwood
9 R. Molnar
11 K. Grosicki
Bench (9)
31 K. Kaminski
23 B. Mendy
15 H. Ali
6 J. Bieganski
61 K. Smolinski
14 J. Pozo
18 P. Mukairu
7 M. Juwara
20 P. Paryzek

Coach: Tomasz Grzegorczyk

Widzew Lodz

98 M. Kikolski
5 S. Andreou
14 R. Visus
4 M. Zyro
3 S. Kozlovsky
77 A. Baena Perez
6 J. Shehu
55 S. Czyz
19 B. Pawlowski
9 A. Zeqiri
99 S. Bergier
Bench (9)
33 J. Krzywanski
7 M. Fornalczyk
8 T. Teklic
10 F. Alvarez
13 D. Gallapeni
20 A. Klukowski
25 M. Hanousek
57 S. Akere
91 M. Krajewski

Coach: Patryk Czubak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.