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DFB-Pokal

Referee: Sven Jablonski

M'gladbach

S S S S U

1–2

Full-time

St Pauli

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

2,2

0,5

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DFB-Pokal · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,5

1,0

Scored

3,0

0,5

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

13 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 0

3 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 9. · St Pauli 31. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kaiserslautern	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Union Berlin	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Darmstadt	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Magdeburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Bochum	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Holstein Kiel	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+5	4
14	Hoffenheim	2	1	1	0	+4	4
15	Hertha	2	1	1	0	+3	4
16	Stuttgart	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Wolfsburg	2	1	0	1	+8	3
19	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+4	3
20	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+3	3
21	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Mainz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	-2	3
28	Cottbus	2	1	0	1	-2	3
29	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	-3	3
31	St Pauli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
32	Braunschweig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Preußen Münster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Eintracht Norderstedt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Illertissen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
37	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Pirmasens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	FC Schweinfurt 05	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	BFC Dynamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	FC 08 Homburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-5	0
60	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-5	0
61	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
62	ZFC Meuselwitz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	RSV Eintracht	1	0	0	1	-7	0
64	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Cottbus	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	Braunschweig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Preußen Münster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Eintracht Norderstedt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Illertissen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Pirmasens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Wolfsburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	FC Schweinfurt 05	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	BFC Dynamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	FC 08 Homburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-5	0
42	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-5	0
43	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
44	ZFC Meuselwitz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
45	RSV Eintracht	1	0	0	1	-7	0
46	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kaiserslautern	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Magdeburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Bochum	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Holstein Kiel	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Hoffenheim	2	1	1	0	+4	4
11	Stuttgart	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+9	3
14	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+5	3
17	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+3	3
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
27	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	-3	3
28	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Bielefeld	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.