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Copa del Rey

Referee: M Sesma

Ebro

3–5

Full-time

Osasuna

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ebro Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

5,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+5,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

27% Possession 73%

11 Shots 22

5 Shots on target 10

2 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ebro 68. · Osasuna 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	3	2	0	1	+4	6
2	Sant Just	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	CD Sant Jordi	3	2	0	1	-2	6
4	Puerto de Vega	3	1	1	1	+2	4
5	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
6	CD Yuncos	3	1	1	1	-3	4
7	Deportivo Getxo	3	1	1	1	-6	4
8	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	4
9	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
10	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+7	3
11	Betis	1	1	0	0	+6	3
12	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+6	3
13	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Ponferradina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Malaga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Torrent	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Atlético Baleares	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Celta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Levante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Navalcarnero	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Antoniano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Real Ávila	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Portugalete	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Cieza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	3
59	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
61	Los Garres	3	1	0	2	-4	3
62	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Antequera	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Ibiza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Mirandes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Pontevedra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Reddis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
77	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
78	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
79	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
80	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
81	Orihuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Atlètic Lleida	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Estepona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
111	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
112	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
113	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
114	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
115	Valle Egüés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Sámano	1	0	0	1	-4	0
118	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
119	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
120	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
121	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-6	0
122	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Puerto de Vega	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Torrent	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Atlético Baleares	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Sant Just	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Navalcarnero	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Antoniano	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Real Ávila	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Portugalete	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Cieza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Palma del Rio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	CD Yuncos	2	1	0	1	-3	3
21	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	3
22	CD Sant Jordi	2	1	0	1	-4	3
23	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Reddis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Deportivo Getxo	2	0	1	1	-7	1
34	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	1
35	Orihuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Atlètic Lleida	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	UD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Estepona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Valle Egüés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Sámano	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
66	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+7	3
3	Betis	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Ponferradina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Malaga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Celta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Levante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Antequera	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Ibiza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Mirandes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Pontevedra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Castellon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Real Avilés	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Gimnastic	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ebro Osasuna

I. Perez 🟨

6′

1–0 K. Soeiro ⚽

V. Charlez

45′

Half-time 1–0

46′

🔁 J. Herrando

↦ A. Osambela

46′

🔁 V. Munoz

↦ K. Barja

49′

⚽ R. Garcia 1–1

K. Sanchez Jaen 🔁

↦ Paki

57′

67′

🔁 R. Garcia

↦ M. Pedroarena

Escolar Sergio 🔁

↦ A. Rueda

74′

U. Lobede 🔁

↦ K. Soeiro

74′

78′

⚽ R. Garcia 1–2

S. Becker

2–2 M. Prat ⚽

J. Reques

80′

82′

🔁 A. Bretones

↦ J. Cruz

84′

⚽ M. Gomez 2–3

V. Munoz

85′

🔁 M. Serrano

↦ I. Arguibide

87′

🟨 M. Gomez

88′

⚽ S. Becker 2–4

V. Munoz

3–4 V. Charlez ⚽

90′

⚽ V. Munoz 3–5

R. Garcia

B. Romero 🔁

↦ J. Reques

91′

I. Vadillo 🔁

↦ M. Prat

91′

Full-time 3–5

Line-ups

Ebro

1 M. Lite

2 A. Rueda D

15 J. Hernandez D

5 H. Espierrez

4 I. Perez

7 M. Prat M

6 A. Munoz

12 J. Reques

11 V. Charlez

19 K. Soeiro

10 Paki

Bench (11)

22 J. Arechavaleta

20 Escolar Sergio

27 R. Gomez

18 U. Lobede

26 A. Magarin

13 A. Mujica

21 A. Novials

8 B. Romero

9 K. Sanchez Jaen

3 Nacho Uche

28 I. Vadillo

Coach: Javier Genoves

Osasuna

A. Fernandez G

I. Arguibide D

A. Catena D

A. Osambela D

J. Cruz D

27 M. Pedroarena M

I. Munoz M

M. Gomez M

S. Becker F

R. Garcia F

K. Barja F

Bench (11)

1 S. Herrera

5 J. Herrando

6 L. Torro

14 R. Garcia

17 A. Budimir

21 V. Munoz

22 F. Boyomo

23 A. Bretones

37 R. Arroyo

42 M. Serrano

47 A. Kall

Coach: Alessio Lisci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

29. Oct CDR 10 months ago

Referee

M Sesma · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,2 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

27,1 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Ebro

Osasuna

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee